GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Motorsport Games Inc (NAS:MSGM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

MSGM (Motorsport Games) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Motorsport Games Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Motorsport Games Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Motorsport Games  (NAS:MSGM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Motorsport Games Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Motorsport Games's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Motorsport Games Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5972 NE 4th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33137
Motorsport Games Inc is a motorsport network company that combines engaging video games with esports competitions and content for racing fans and gamers around the globe. The company has its reportable segments into the development and publishing of interactive racing video games, entertainment content and services, and the organization and facilitation of esports tournaments, competitions, and events for licensed racing games as well as on behalf of third-party video game racing series and other video game publishers. The majority of the revenue is earned from Gaming.
Executives
Mike Zoi 10 percent owner 12100 NE 16TH AVENUE, #210, NORTH MIAMI FL 33161
Navtej Singh Sunner director 115 OVERSLADE LANE, RUGBY X0 CV226EE
Andrew P. Jacobson director 3825 N. PAULINA STREET, CHICAGO IL 60613
John Delta officer: Interim CFO 8800 HSC PARKWAY, BRYAN TX 77807
Peter R Moore director 200 DOMAIN DRIVE, STRATHAM NH 03885
Jonathan New officer: Chief Financial Officer 12100 NE 16TH AVENUE, #210, NORTH MIAMI FL 33161
Francesco Piovanetti director CITY VIEW PLAZA I SUITE 800, CARR. 165KM, 1.2, GUAYNABO PR 00968
Dmitry Kozko director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1450 SOUTH MIAMI AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33130
Neil T Anderson director 125 BROAD STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Rob Dyrdek director 3130 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 600, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Stephen Hood officer: President SILVERSTONE INNOVATION CENTRE, SILVERSTONE X0 NN12 8GX
James William Allen director 1 ETON STREET,, MOTORSPORT NETWORK, RICHMOND, LONDON X0 TW9 1AG
Motorsport Network, Llc 10 percent owner 5972 NE 4TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33137