Ashley Services Group (ASX:ASH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 29.44% (As of Jun. 2025) — Near Median

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ASX:ASH Ashley Services Group Ltd ASX:ASH
53 GF Score
Price A$0.26
GF Value A$0.24
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ashley Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Ashley Services Group ASX:ASH -1.89% 53 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 29.44% as of Jun. 2025, which is 5% below its 10-year median of 31.07. GuruFocus rates ASX:ASH with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.24 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 717 Business Services companies, Ashley Services Group ranks better than 53.14% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ashley Services Group's forward rate of return for was 29.44%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:ASH' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.73   Med: 31.07   Max: 48.5
Current: 16.44

During the past 11 years, Ashley Services Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 48.50. The lowest was 15.73. And the median was 31.07.

ASX:ASH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
53.14% of 717 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 14.22 vs ASX:ASH: 16.44

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ashley Services Group  (ASX:ASH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ashley Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Ashley Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ashley Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Ashley Services Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 27.96 28.01 29.44

Ashley Services Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 28.01 0.00 29.44 0.00

ASX:ASH vs KFY, RHI, TNET: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ashley Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ASX:ASH
53GF Score
Ashley Services Group Ltd ASX:ASH
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ashley Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.05866667/0.165+-0.0612
=29.44 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 29.44% mean?
Ashley Services Group (ASX:ASH) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 29.44% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ashley Services Group and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 31.07. Over the past decade, Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.73 to 48.50. According to the industry distribution chart, Ashley Services Group ranks #336 out of 717 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 46.9%.
Is Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Ashley Services Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 29.44% is near median its 10-year median of 31.07. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 15.73 to a high of 48.50. The Business Services industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.22. Ashley Services Group's value of 29.44% is 107% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ashley Services Group ranks #336 out of 717 companies in the Business Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ashley Services Group has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ashley Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to KFY and RHI?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Ashley Services Group ranks #336 out of 717 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Ashley Services Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.22. Ashley Services Group's value of 29.44% is 107% above this benchmark. Historically, Ashley Services Group's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.73 to 48.50 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 31.07 vs. the industry median of 14.22, Ashley Services Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Business Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Business Services companies is 14.22, based on 717 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ashley Services Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 29.44% is 107% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ashley Services Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.22 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ashley Services Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 29.44%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 31.07. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ashley Services Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ashley Services Group (ASX:ASH) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.24, compared to a current price of A$0.26 — trading 8.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 29.44%, which is near median its 10-year median of 31.07 and 107% above the Business Services industry median of 14.22. Ashley Services Group's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ashley Services Group (ASX:ASH), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 29.44% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ashley Services Group (ASX:ASH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ashley Services Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$0.26 is trading 8.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.24. GuruFocus considers Ashley Services Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:ASH:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 29.44% (near median its 10-year median of 31.07)
  • GF Value™: A$0.24 vs. price of A$0.26 (8.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 107% above the Business Services median (#336 of 717)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:ASH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ashley Services Group Business Description

Address 92 Pitt Street, Level 10, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Ashley Services Group Ltd is engaged in staffing services. It is an integrated Labour Hire, Recruitment, and Training organization that has been delivering workforce management and business improvement programs. The group operates in two operating segments, namely Labour hire and Training. The group derives maximum revenue from providing Labour hire services. The organization operates in Australia.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:ASH

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.26
Price
A$0.24
GF Value