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Big River IndustriesASX:BRI 83 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.65% as of Jun. 2025, which is 7% below its 10-year median of 13.64. GuruFocus rates ASX:BRI with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of A$1.49 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 240 Forest Products companies, Big River Industries ranks better than 71.25% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Big River Industries's forward rate of return for was 12.65%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Big River Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:BRI'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.15 Med: 13.64 Max: 40.93
Current: 12.36
During the past 9 years, Big River Industries's highest Forward Rate of Return was 40.93. The lowest was 2.15. And the median was 13.64.
ASX:BRI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 71.25% of 240
companies
in the Forest Products industry
Industry Median: 2.64
vs ASX:BRI: 12.36
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Big River Industries (ASX:BRI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Big River Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Big River Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Big River Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Big River Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
ASX:BRI vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Big River Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Big River Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Forest Products Industry
For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Big River Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Big River Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Big River Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.65% mean?
Big River Industries (ASX:BRI) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.65% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Big River Industries and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 13.64. Over the past decade, Big River Industries' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 2.15 to 40.93. According to the industry distribution chart, Big River Industries ranks #69 out of 240 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 28.7%.
Is Big River Industries' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Big River Industries' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.65% is near median its 10-year median of 13.64. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.15 to a high of 40.93. The Forest Products industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.64. Big River Industries' value of 12.65% is 379.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Big River Industries ranks #69 out of 240 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Big River Industries has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Big River Industries' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Big River Industries ranks #69 out of 240 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Big River Industries in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.64. Big River Industries' value of 12.65% is 379.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Big River Industries' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 2.15 to 40.93 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 13.64 vs. the industry median of 2.64, Big River Industries has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Forest Products company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Forest Products companies is 2.64, based on 240 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Big River Industries's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.65% is 379.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Big River Industries and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.64 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Big River Industries's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.65%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 13.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Big River Industries stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Big River Industries (ASX:BRI) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$1.49, compared to a current price of A$1.32 — trading 11.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.65%, which is near median its 10-year median of 13.64 and 379.2% above the Forest Products industry median of 2.64. Big River Industries' overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Big River Industries (ASX:BRI), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.65% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Big River Industries (ASX:BRI) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Big River Industries stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of A$1.32 is trading 11.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$1.49.
GuruFocus considers Big River Industries to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:BRI:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.65% (near median its 10-year median of 13.64)
GF Value™: A$1.49 vs. price of A$1.32 (11.4% below fair value)
Industry Position: 379.2% above the Forest Products median (#69 of 240)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:BRI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Big River Industries Ltd is a manufacturer, distributor, and supplier of timber, builder's hardware, building supplies, and services for the residential, commercial, industrial, building, and construction industries. The company's segment includes Panels and Construction. It generates maximum revenue from the Construction segment. The Construction division comprises fifteen sites that sell building, commercial, and formwork products in Australia. The panel segment comprises three manufacturing and six distribution sites of timber panel products in Australia and New Zealand. Geographically, the company derives the majority of its revenue from Australia.
83GF Score
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