Johns Lyng Group (ASX:JLG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 25.84% (As of Jun. 2025) — Near Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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ASX:JLG Johns Lyng Group Ltd ASX:JLG
13 GF Score
Price A$3.99
GF Value A$5.47
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Johns Lyng Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Johns Lyng Group ASX:JLG 13 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.84% as of Jun. 2025, which is 7% above its 10-year median of 24.08. GuruFocus rates ASX:JLG with a GF Score™ of 13/100 and a GF Value™ of A$5.47. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Johns Lyng Group's forward rate of return for was 25.84%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:JLG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 22.47   Med: 24.08   Max: 28.71
Current: 24.64

During the past 8 years, Johns Lyng Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.71. The lowest was 22.47. And the median was 24.08.

ASX:JLG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 9.06 vs ASX:JLG: 24.64

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Johns Lyng Group  (ASX:JLG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Johns Lyng Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Johns Lyng Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Johns Lyng Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Johns Lyng Group Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 23.32 23.06 25.84

Johns Lyng Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.32 0.00 23.06 0.00 25.84

ASX:JLG vs PWR, FIX, EME: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Johns Lyng Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ASX:JLG
13GF Score
Johns Lyng Group Ltd ASX:JLG
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Johns Lyng Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.185/3.17+0.2
=25.84 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.84% mean?
Johns Lyng Group (ASX:JLG) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.84% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Johns Lyng Group and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 24.08. Over the past decade, Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 22.47 to 28.71.
Is Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Johns Lyng Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.84% is near median its 10-year median of 24.08. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 22.47 to a high of 28.71. The Construction industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.06. Johns Lyng Group's value of 25.84% is 185.2% above this industry median. Overall, Johns Lyng Group has a GF Score™ of 13/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to PWR and FIX?
Johns Lyng Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.84% can be compared against companies in the Construction industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.06. Johns Lyng Group's value of 25.84% is 185.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Johns Lyng Group's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 22.47 to 28.71 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 24.08 vs. the industry median of 9.06, Johns Lyng Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Construction company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Construction companies is 9.06, based on 1,309 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Johns Lyng Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.84% is 185.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Johns Lyng Group and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.06 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Johns Lyng Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.84%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 24.08. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Johns Lyng Group stock overvalued right now?
Johns Lyng Group (ASX:JLG) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.84%. The stock's GF Value™ is A$5.47, compared to a current price of A$3.99 — trading 27.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.84%, which is near median its 10-year median of 24.08 and 185.2% above the Construction industry median of 9.06. Johns Lyng Group's overall GF Score™ is 13/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Johns Lyng Group (ASX:JLG), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.84% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Johns Lyng Group (ASX:JLG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Johns Lyng Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$3.99 is trading 27.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$5.47.

Key valuation signals for ASX:JLG:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 25.84% (near median its 10-year median of 24.08)
  • GF Value™: A$5.47 vs. price of A$3.99 (27.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 13/100 with 9 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 185.2% above the Construction median

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:JLG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Johns Lyng Group Business Description

Address 1 Williamsons Road, Doncastor, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3108
Johns Lyng Group carries out commercial and residential rebuilding and restoration for the insurance industry. It co-ordinates construction work for general building insurance claims and catastrophic events throughout Australia, the US, and New Zealand. Its subsidiary companies support its main operations. These include residential and commercial facility managers, heating, ventilation, and cooling, carpet drying, and shopfitting, among others.
13GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:JLG

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$3.99
Price
A$5.47
GF Value