Rubicon Water (ASX:RWL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Jun. 2025)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:RWL Rubicon Water Ltd ASX:RWL
18 GF Score
Price A$0.15
GF Value A$0.26
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Rubicon Water Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Rubicon Water ASX:RWL -3.33% 18 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus rates ASX:RWL with a GF Score™ of 18/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.26 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 425 Utilities - Regulated companies, Rubicon Water ranks worse than 235293.88% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Rubicon Water's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:RWL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 6.43
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Rubicon Water  (ASX:RWL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Rubicon Water Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Rubicon Water Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Rubicon Water Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Rubicon Water Annual Data
Trend Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Rubicon Water Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

ASX:RWL vs AWK, WTRG, AWR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rubicon Water Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ASX:RWL
18GF Score
Rubicon Water Ltd ASX:RWL
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Rubicon Water Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/0.175+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Rubicon Water (ASX:RWL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Rubicon Water and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Rubicon Water ranks #999999 out of 425 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Is Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Rubicon Water's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Based on the distribution chart, Rubicon Water ranks #999999 out of 425 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Rubicon Water has a GF Score™ of 18/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Rubicon Water's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to AWK and WTRG?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Rubicon Water ranks #999999 out of 425 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Rubicon Water in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.43. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Utilities - Regulated companies is 6.43, based on 425 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Rubicon Water and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.43 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Rubicon Water's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Rubicon Water stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rubicon Water (ASX:RWL) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.26, compared to a current price of A$0.15 — trading 44.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Rubicon Water's overall GF Score™ is 18/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Rubicon Water (ASX:RWL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Rubicon Water (ASX:RWL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rubicon Water stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$0.15 is trading 44.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.26. GuruFocus considers Rubicon Water to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:RWL:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
  • GF Value™: A$0.26 vs. price of A$0.15 (44.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 18/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:RWL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Rubicon Water Business Description

Address 1 Cato Street, Hawthorn East, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3123
Rubicon Water Ltd is engaged in the water technology solutions business that designs, manufactures, installs, and maintains irrigation automation software and hardware. It generates revenue through sales of hardware, software, and services, as well as from ongoing maintenance of the installed end-to-end solution base.
18GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:RWL

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.15
Price
A$0.26
GF Value