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Ubon Bio Ethanol PCLBKK:UBE-R 39 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 23.89% as of Jun. 2026, which is 134% above its 10-year median of 10.20. GuruFocus rates BKK:UBE-R with a GF Score™ of 39/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿0.81 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,403 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL ranks better than 87.81% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's forward rate of return for was 23.89%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
BKK:UBE-R'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.55 Med: 10.2 Max: 38.66
Current: 23.89
During the past 9 years, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's highest Forward Rate of Return was 38.66. The lowest was -5.55. And the median was 10.20.
BKK:UBE-R's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 87.81% of 1403
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 8.51
vs BKK:UBE-R: 23.89
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE-R) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
BKK:UBE-R vs ADM, BG, TSN: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Farm Products subindustry, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 23.89% mean?
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE-R) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 23.89% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL and its competitors. This is 134% above median its historical median of 10.20. According to the industry distribution chart, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL ranks #171 out of 1403 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 12.2%.
Is Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 23.89% is 134% above median its 10-year median of 10.20. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.51. Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's value of 23.89% is 180.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL ranks #171 out of 1403 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL has a GF Score™ of 39/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ADM and BG?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL ranks #171 out of 1403 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL in the top 12% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.51. Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's value of 23.89% is 180.7% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 10.20 vs. the industry median of 8.51, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 8.51, based on 1,403 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 23.89% is 180.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.51 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 23.89%, which is 134% above median its own 10-year median of 10.20. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE-R) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿0.81, compared to a current price of ฿0.53 — trading 34.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 23.89%, which is 134% above median its 10-year median of 10.20 and 180.7% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 8.51. Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's overall GF Score™ is 39/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE-R), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 23.89% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE-R) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of ฿0.53 is trading 34.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿0.81.
GuruFocus considers Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL to be Significantly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for BKK:UBE-R:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 23.89% (134% above median its 10-year median of 10.20)
GF Value™: ฿0.81 vs. price of ฿0.53 (34.6% below fair value)
Industry Position: 180.7% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#171 of 1403)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:UBE-R stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL is engaged in the manufacture and distribution of processed cassava products, which include cassava-based ethanol, cassava starch, cassava flour, other organic products, biogas, and electricity from biogas and solar power systems. The company has four reportable segments: Tapioca starch, biogas and electricity, Ethanol, Restaurant management and investment activities, and others. The majority of revenue is generated from the Ethanol segment. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from Thailand.
39GF Score
Get the complete analysis for BKK:UBE-R
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