Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion (BOG:PROTECCION) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 9.98% (As of Dec. 2021)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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BOG:PROTECCION Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion SA BOG:PROTECCION
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Price COP82,000.00
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What is Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion BOG:PROTECCION 12 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.98% as of Dec. 2021. GuruFocus rates BOG:PROTECCION with a GF Score™ of 12/100.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's forward rate of return for was 9.98%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:PROTECCION's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 4.355
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion  (BOG:PROTECCION) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.81 9.98

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Semi-Annual Data
Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Jun23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.81 15.54 9.98 -7.35 -12.72

BOG:PROTECCION vs BLK, BX, BK: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


BOG:PROTECCION
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Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion SA BOG:PROTECCION
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=6148.25966667/120000+-0.0629
=-1.17 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.98% mean?
Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion (BOG:PROTECCION) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.98% as of Dec. 2021. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion and its competitors.
Is Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.98%. The Asset Management industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.36. Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's value of 9.98% is 129.2% above this industry median. Overall, Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion has a GF Score™ of 12/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BLK and BX?
Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.98% can be compared against companies in the Asset Management industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.36. Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's value of 9.98% is 129.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Asset Management company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Asset Management companies is 4.36, based on 1,172 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.98% is 129.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.98%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion stock overvalued right now?
Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion (BOG:PROTECCION) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.98%. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.98% and 129.2% above the Asset Management industry median of 4.36. Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion's overall GF Score™ is 12/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion (BOG:PROTECCION), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.98% as of Dec. 2021. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion Business Description

Address Calle 49 No. 63-100 Torre Protection, Medellin, COL
Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones y Cesantia Proteccion SA is a management company of mandatory and voluntary pension and severance funds. Its funds include voluntary and obligatory pension funds, and severance funds.
12GF Score

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Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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