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Afriquia GazCAS:GAZ -0.79%85 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.72% as of Dec. 2025, which is 97% above its 10-year median of 7.97. GuruFocus rates CAS:GAZ with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of MAD4,404.45 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 606 Oil & Gas companies, Afriquia Gaz ranks better than 57.1% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Afriquia Gaz's forward rate of return for was 15.72%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CAS:GAZ'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.01 Med: 7.97 Max: 16.04
Current: 16.03
During the past 13 years, Afriquia Gaz's highest Forward Rate of Return was 16.04. The lowest was 3.01. And the median was 7.97.
CAS:GAZ's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 57.1% of 606
companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 13.27
vs CAS:GAZ: 16.03
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Afriquia Gaz (CAS:GAZ) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Afriquia Gaz Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Afriquia Gaz Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Afriquia Gaz Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
CAS:GAZ vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Afriquia Gaz Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Afriquia Gaz Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
116.89266667
/
4040
+
0.1283
=
15.72 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.72% mean?
Afriquia Gaz (CAS:GAZ) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.72% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Afriquia Gaz and its competitors. This is 97% above median its historical median of 7.97. Over the past decade, Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.01 to 16.04. According to the industry distribution chart, Afriquia Gaz ranks #260 out of 606 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 42.9%.
Is Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Afriquia Gaz's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.72% is 97% above median its 10-year median of 7.97. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.01 to a high of 16.04. The Oil & Gas industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.27. Afriquia Gaz's value of 15.72% is 18.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Afriquia Gaz ranks #260 out of 606 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Afriquia Gaz has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Afriquia Gaz's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MPC and VLO?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Afriquia Gaz ranks #260 out of 606 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Afriquia Gaz in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.27. Afriquia Gaz's value of 15.72% is 18.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Afriquia Gaz's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.01 to 16.04 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 7.97 vs. the industry median of 13.27, Afriquia Gaz has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Oil & Gas companies is 13.27, based on 606 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Afriquia Gaz's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.72% is 18.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Afriquia Gaz and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Afriquia Gaz's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.72%, which is 97% above median its own 10-year median of 7.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Afriquia Gaz stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Afriquia Gaz (CAS:GAZ) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MAD4,404.45, compared to a current price of MAD3,661.00 — trading 16.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.72%, which is 97% above median its 10-year median of 7.97 and 18.5% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 13.27. Afriquia Gaz's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Afriquia Gaz (CAS:GAZ), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.72% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Afriquia Gaz (CAS:GAZ) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Afriquia Gaz stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of MAD3,661.00 is trading 16.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of MAD4,404.45.
GuruFocus considers Afriquia Gaz to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for CAS:GAZ:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.72% (97% above median its 10-year median of 7.97)
GF Value™: MAD4,404.45 vs. price of MAD3,661.00 (16.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 18.5% above the Oil & Gas median (#260 of 606)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CAS:GAZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Afriquia Gaz is a Morocco-based company engaged in the business of distributing liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) such as butane, propane and its by-products. The company is also involved in the import, export, trade, refining, storage, stocking, transportation, deposit and administration of LPG. It markets its products under five brands namely Afriquia Gaz, Tissir Gaz, Campingaz, Ultragaz and National Gaz.
85GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CAS:GAZ
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