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China Gas HoldingsCGHOF 51 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.66% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates CGHOF with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.89 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 426 Utilities - Regulated companies, China Gas Holdings ranks worse than 78.4% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. China Gas Holdings's forward rate of return for was -5.66%.
The historical rank and industry rank for China Gas Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CGHOF'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.55 Med: 16.97 Max: 21.1
Current: -4.05
During the past 13 years, China Gas Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.10. The lowest was -8.55. And the median was 16.97.
CGHOF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 78.4% of 426
companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 6.48
vs CGHOF: -4.05
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
China Gas Holdings (OTCPK:CGHOF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
China Gas Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
China Gas Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for China Gas Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China Gas Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
CGHOF vs ATO, NI: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, China Gas Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Gas Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, China Gas Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Gas Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
China Gas Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -5.66% mean?
China Gas Holdings (CGHOF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -5.66% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on China Gas Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Gas Holdings ranks #334 out of 426 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 78.4%.
Is China Gas Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
China Gas Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.66%. Based on the distribution chart, China Gas Holdings ranks #334 out of 426 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, China Gas Holdings has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Gas Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, China Gas Holdings ranks #334 out of 426 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places China Gas Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.48. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Utilities - Regulated companies is 6.48, based on 426 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on China Gas Holdings and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.48 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Gas Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.66%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Gas Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Gas Holdings (CGHOF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.89, compared to a current price of $0.69 — trading 22.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.66%. China Gas Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Gas Holdings (CGHOF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -5.66% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is China Gas Holdings (CGHOF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Gas Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $0.69 is trading 22.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.89.
GuruFocus considers China Gas Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for CGHOF:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -5.66%
GF Value™: $0.89 vs. price of $0.69 (22.3% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CGHOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
China Gas Holdings is involved in the wholesale and retail businesses of natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas in China. As of fiscal 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), the group had secured a total of 662 piped gas concessions and 488 compressed natural gas/liquefied natural gas refilling stations for vehicles in China. In total, CGH has connected 48.5 million residential households and achieved a penetration rate of 72.9%.
51GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CGHOF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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