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Ashmore GroupCHIX:ASHML +0.67%78 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -3.61% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus rates CHIX:ASHML with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of £1.54 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,171 Asset Management companies, Ashmore Group ranks worse than 82.49% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ashmore Group's forward rate of return for was -3.61%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:ASHMl'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.96 Med: 0.6 Max: 27.34
Current: -6.52
During the past 13 years, Ashmore Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.34. The lowest was -7.96. And the median was 0.60.
CHIX:ASHMl's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 82.49% of 1171
companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 4.59
vs CHIX:ASHMl: -6.52
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Ashmore Group (CHIX:ASHMl) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Ashmore Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Ashmore Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ashmore Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
CHIX:ASHML vs BLK, BX, KKR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Asset Management subindustry, Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ashmore Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Asset Management Industry
For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Ashmore Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2025 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0.17833333
/
1.57
+
-0.1501
=
-3.65 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -3.61% mean?
Ashmore Group (CHIX:ASHML) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -3.61% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ashmore Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ashmore Group ranks #966 out of 1171 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 82.5%.
Is Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Ashmore Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -3.61%. Based on the distribution chart, Ashmore Group ranks #966 out of 1171 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Ashmore Group has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ashmore Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Ashmore Group ranks #966 out of 1171 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Ashmore Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.59. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Asset Management company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Asset Management companies is 4.59, based on 1,171 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ashmore Group and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ashmore Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -3.61%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ashmore Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ashmore Group (CHIX:ASHML) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £1.54, compared to a current price of £2.09 — trading 35.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -3.61%. Ashmore Group's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ashmore Group (CHIX:ASHML), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -3.61% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Ashmore Group (CHIX:ASHML) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ashmore Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of £2.09 is trading 35.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of £1.54.
GuruFocus considers Ashmore Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:ASHML:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -3.61%
GF Value™: £1.54 vs. price of £2.09 (35.8% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:ASHML stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Ashmore Group PLC is a value-oriented asset management firm that focuses its investments on emerging markets. It offers a diverse range of both traditional and alternative investment strategies to its client base globally, including both institutional and retail investors. The company invests in sovereign debt instruments, currencies, corporate debt, equities, derivatives, private equity, real estate, distressed debt, and other special situations. The firm reports on changes in assets under management as the majority of its revenue is derived from management fees. The company also benefits from performance fees on its investments. Geographically, the group derives maximum revenue from the United Kingdom and Ireland, followed by the Americas, and Asia and the Middle East.
78GF Score
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Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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