Hollywood Bowl Group (CHIX:BOWLL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 26.83% (As of Sep. 2025) — 27% Above Median

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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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CHIX:BOWLL Hollywood Bowl Group PLC CHIX:BOWLL
92 GF Score
Price £2.80
GF Value £3.37
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hollywood Bowl Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Hollywood Bowl Group CHIX:BOWLL 92 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.83% as of Sep. 2025, which is 27% above its 10-year median of 21.14. GuruFocus rates CHIX:BOWLL with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of £3.37 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 566 Travel & Leisure companies, Hollywood Bowl Group ranks better than 84.1% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Hollywood Bowl Group's forward rate of return for was 26.83%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:BOWLl' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.97   Med: 21.14   Max: 27.3
Current: 26.17

During the past 13 years, Hollywood Bowl Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.30. The lowest was 0.97. And the median was 21.14.

CHIX:BOWLl's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
84.1% of 566 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 10.235 vs CHIX:BOWLl: 26.17

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Hollywood Bowl Group  (CHIX:BOWLl) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Hollywood Bowl Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Hollywood Bowl Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hollywood Bowl Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Hollywood Bowl Group Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.46 13.91 21.08 24.99 26.83

Hollywood Bowl Group Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 24.99 0.00 26.83 0.00

CHIX:BOWLL vs AS, HAS, LTH: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hollywood Bowl Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


CHIX:BOWLL
92GF Score
Hollywood Bowl Group PLC CHIX:BOWLL
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hollywood Bowl Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.17233333/2.53+0.2
=26.81 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.83% mean?
Hollywood Bowl Group (CHIX:BOWLL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.83% as of Sep. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Hollywood Bowl Group and its competitors. This is 27% above median its historical median of 21.14. Over the past decade, Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.97 to 27.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Hollywood Bowl Group ranks #90 out of 566 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 15.9%.
Is Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Hollywood Bowl Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.83% is 27% above median its 10-year median of 21.14. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.97 to a high of 27.30. The Travel & Leisure industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.24. Hollywood Bowl Group's value of 26.83% is 162.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Hollywood Bowl Group ranks #90 out of 566 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Hollywood Bowl Group has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hollywood Bowl Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to AS and HAS?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Hollywood Bowl Group ranks #90 out of 566 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Hollywood Bowl Group in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.24. Hollywood Bowl Group's value of 26.83% is 162.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Hollywood Bowl Group's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.97 to 27.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 21.14 vs. the industry median of 10.24, Hollywood Bowl Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Travel & Leisure companies is 10.24, based on 566 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Hollywood Bowl Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.83% is 162.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Hollywood Bowl Group and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.24 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Hollywood Bowl Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.83%, which is 27% above median its own 10-year median of 21.14. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hollywood Bowl Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hollywood Bowl Group (CHIX:BOWLL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £3.37, compared to a current price of £2.80 — trading 16.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.83%, which is 27% above median its 10-year median of 21.14 and 162.1% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 10.24. Hollywood Bowl Group's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hollywood Bowl Group (CHIX:BOWLL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.83% as of Sep. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hollywood Bowl Group (CHIX:BOWLL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hollywood Bowl Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £2.80 is trading 16.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of £3.37. GuruFocus considers Hollywood Bowl Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:BOWLL:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 26.83% (27% above median its 10-year median of 21.14)
  • GF Value™: £3.37 vs. price of £2.80 (16.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 162.1% above the Travel & Leisure median (#90 of 566)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:BOWLL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hollywood Bowl Group Business Description

Other Exchanges BOWL:UK2H4:Germany
Address Cleveland Road, Focus 31, West Wing, Hemel Hempstead Industrial Estate, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire, GBR, HP2 7BW
Hollywood Bowl Group PLC is principally engaged in operating ten-pin bowling and mini-golf centres, supplying and installing bowling equipment, and developing new centres and related activities. The company operates brands including Hollywood Bowl, Splitsville, and Puttstars, with activities focused on leisure and entertainment venues offering bowling and mini-golf. It has two operating segments: i) the provision of ten-pin bowling and mini-golf centres in the United Kingdom, and ii) the provision of ten-pin bowling and mini-golf centres and the installation of bowling equipment in Canada. The majority of revenue is generated from the UK segment from the provision of activities like Bowling, Food and drink, Amusements and Others.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:BOWLL

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£2.80
Price
£3.37
GF Value