Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
GoodwinCHIX:GDWNL +1.97%71 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.19% as of Apr. 2025, which is 81% above its 10-year median of 10.60. GuruFocus rates CHIX:GDWNL with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of £93.43 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 2,152 Industrial Products companies, Goodwin ranks better than 73.7% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Goodwin's forward rate of return for was 19.19%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:GDWNl'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.29 Med: 10.6 Max: 19.2
Current: 17.63
During the past 13 years, Goodwin's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.20. The lowest was -6.29. And the median was 10.60.
CHIX:GDWNl's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 73.7% of 2152
companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 7.595
vs CHIX:GDWNl: 17.63
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Goodwin (CHIX:GDWNl) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Goodwin Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Goodwin Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CHIX:GDWNL vs GEV, ETN, PH: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Goodwin Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Industrial Products Industry
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Goodwin Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.19% mean?
Goodwin (CHIX:GDWNL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.19% as of Apr. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Goodwin and its competitors. This is 81% above median its historical median of 10.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Goodwin ranks #566 out of 2152 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 26.3%.
Is Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Goodwin's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.19% is 81% above median its 10-year median of 10.60. The Industrial Products industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.60. Goodwin's value of 19.19% is 152.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Goodwin ranks #566 out of 2152 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Goodwin has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Goodwin's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to GEV and ETN?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Goodwin ranks #566 out of 2152 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Goodwin in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.60. Goodwin's value of 19.19% is 152.7% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 10.60 vs. the industry median of 7.60, Goodwin has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Industrial Products company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Industrial Products companies is 7.60, based on 2,152 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Goodwin's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.19% is 152.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Goodwin and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Goodwin's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.19%, which is 81% above median its own 10-year median of 10.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Goodwin stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Goodwin (CHIX:GDWNL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £93.43, compared to a current price of £176.20 — trading 88.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.19%, which is 81% above median its 10-year median of 10.60 and 152.7% above the Industrial Products industry median of 7.60. Goodwin's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Goodwin (CHIX:GDWNL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.19% as of Apr. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Goodwin (CHIX:GDWNL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Goodwin stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of £176.20 is trading 88.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of £93.43.
GuruFocus considers Goodwin to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:GDWNL:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 19.19% (81% above median its 10-year median of 10.60)
GF Value™: £93.43 vs. price of £176.20 (88.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 152.7% above the Industrial Products median (#566 of 2152)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:GDWNL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Goodwin PLC is a mechanical component manufacturing company. Its operating segments are the Mechanical Engineering segment which includes casting, valve, antenna, and pump manufacturer and general engineering, and the Refractory Engineering segment which consists of powder manufacture and mineral processing. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Mechanical Engineering segment. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from the United Kingdom and also has its presence in Europe, the United States of America, Pacific Basin, and the rest of the world.
71GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CHIX:GDWNL
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
CHIX:GDWNL has been successfully added to your 
