Nilorngruppen AB (CHIX:NILBS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 2.12% (As of Mar. 2026) — 62% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:NILBS Nilorngruppen AB CHIX:NILBS
75 GF Score
Price kr68.20
GF Value kr57.07
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Nilorngruppen AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Nilorngruppen AB CHIX:NILBS 75 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.12% as of Mar. 2026, which is 62% below its 10-year median of 5.63. GuruFocus rates CHIX:NILBS with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of kr57.07. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 319 Packaging & Containers companies, Nilorngruppen AB ranks worse than 66.77% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Nilorngruppen AB's forward rate of return for was 2.12%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:NILBs' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.11   Med: 5.63   Max: 15.41
Current: -0.75

During the past 13 years, Nilorngruppen AB's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.41. The lowest was -7.11. And the median was 5.63.

CHIX:NILBs's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
66.77% of 319 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 6.59 vs CHIX:NILBs: -0.75

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Nilorngruppen AB  (CHIX:NILBs) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Nilorngruppen AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Nilorngruppen AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nilorngruppen AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Nilorngruppen AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.12 16.62 13.21 13.09 9.56

Nilorngruppen AB Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.07 12.96 10.30 6.38 2.12

CHIX:NILBS vs SW, AMCR, PKG: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nilorngruppen AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


CHIX:NILBS
75GF Score
Nilorngruppen AB CHIX:NILBS
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nilorngruppen AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.40114286/68.2+-0.058
=2.12 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.12% mean?
Nilorngruppen AB (CHIX:NILBS) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.12% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nilorngruppen AB and its competitors. This is 62% below median its historical median of 5.63. According to the industry distribution chart, Nilorngruppen AB ranks #213 out of 319 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 66.8%.
Is Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Nilorngruppen AB's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.12% is 62% below median its 10-year median of 5.63. The Packaging & Containers industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.59. Nilorngruppen AB's value of 2.12% is 67.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nilorngruppen AB ranks #213 out of 319 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nilorngruppen AB has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nilorngruppen AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SW and AMCR?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Nilorngruppen AB ranks #213 out of 319 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Nilorngruppen AB in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.59. Nilorngruppen AB's value of 2.12% is 67.8% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 5.63 vs. the industry median of 6.59, Nilorngruppen AB has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Packaging & Containers companies is 6.59, based on 319 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nilorngruppen AB's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.12% is 67.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nilorngruppen AB and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nilorngruppen AB's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.12%, which is 62% below median its own 10-year median of 5.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nilorngruppen AB stock overvalued right now?
Nilorngruppen AB (CHIX:NILBS) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.12%. The stock's GF Value™ is kr57.07, compared to a current price of kr68.20 — trading 19.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.12%, which is 62% below median its 10-year median of 5.63 and 67.8% below the Packaging & Containers industry median of 6.59. Nilorngruppen AB's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nilorngruppen AB (CHIX:NILBS), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.12% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nilorngruppen AB (CHIX:NILBS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nilorngruppen AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr68.20 is trading 19.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr57.07.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:NILBS:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 2.12% (62% below median its 10-year median of 5.63)
  • GF Value™: kr57.07 vs. price of kr68.20 (19.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 67.8% below the Packaging & Containers median (#213 of 319)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:NILBS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nilorngruppen AB Business Description

Address Wieslanders vag 3, Box 499, Boras, SWE, 501 13
Nilorngruppen AB is a Sweden-based company engaged in the branding, designing, manufacturing, and sale of labels, packaging products, and accessories for clients in the fashion and apparel sector. Its product portfolio consists of Trims, Packaging, and Information labels. Its revenue comes from the information Labels labels product range includes woven labels, printed textile labels, printed hanging labels, and flossed labels. Geographically, the segments of the company are the Sweden, Other Europe, and Asia, of which key revenue is derived from the operations in the Asian countries.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:NILBS

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr68.20
Price
kr57.07
GF Value