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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
CTVIF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 77.6% of 567
companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 10.21
vs CTVIF: -8.03
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (OTCPK:CTVIF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Annual Data
CTVIF vs AS, HAS, LTH: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Leisure subindustry, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (CTVIF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on China Travel International Investment Hong Kong and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong ranks #440 out of 567 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 77.6%.
Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Based on the distribution chart, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong ranks #440 out of 567 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to AS and HAS?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong ranks #440 out of 567 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places China Travel International Investment Hong Kong in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.21. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Travel & Leisure companies is 10.21, based on 567 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on China Travel International Investment Hong Kong and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.21 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (CTVIF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.20, compared to a current price of $0.11 — trading 44.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. China Travel International Investment Hong Kong's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (CTVIF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (CTVIF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $0.11 is trading 44.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.20.
GuruFocus considers China Travel International Investment Hong Kong to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for CTVIF:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
GF Value™: $0.20 vs. price of $0.11 (44.4% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CTVIF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Ltd is a holding company focused on leisure investments. The company has four primary divisions: travel document and related operations, tourist attractions and related operations, hotel operations, and passenger transportation operations. The company derives revenue from its travel agency, tourist attraction, and hotel operations. Travel agency and related operations include the company's travel agency and travel document businesses. Tourist attraction operations, which comprise the majority portion of the company's revenue, include theme parks, resorts, and scenic destinations. Hotel operations include hotel accommodation, food, and beverage services. The company generates the vast majority of revenue in Hong Kong and mainland China.
54GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CTVIF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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