EBOSY (Ebos Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.48% (As of Jun. 2025) — 10% Below Median

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EBOSY Ebos Group Ltd EBOSY
85 GF Score
Price $26.00
GF Value $47.52
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Ebos Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Ebos Group EBOSY 85 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.48% as of Jun. 2025, which is 10% below its 10-year median of 13.83. GuruFocus rates EBOSY with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of $47.52. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 85 Medical Distribution companies, Ebos Group ranks better than 62.35% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ebos Group's forward rate of return for was 12.48%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

EBOSY' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.15   Med: 13.83   Max: 21.3
Current: 15.37

During the past 13 years, Ebos Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.30. The lowest was 11.15. And the median was 13.83.

EBOSY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
62.35% of 85 companies
in the Medical Distribution industry
Industry Median: 9.13 vs EBOSY: 15.37

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ebos Group  (OTCPK:EBOSY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ebos Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Ebos Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ebos Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Ebos Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.54 12.61 15.53 18.08 12.48

Ebos Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 18.08 0.00 12.48 0.00

EBOSY vs MCK, COR, CAH: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ebos Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


EBOSY
85GF Score
Ebos Group Ltd EBOSY
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ebos Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.88483333/41.94+0.0613
=10.62 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.48% mean?
Ebos Group (EBOSY) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.48% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ebos Group and its competitors. This is 10% below median its historical median of 13.83. Over the past decade, Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.15 to 21.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Ebos Group ranks #32 out of 85 companies in the Medical Distribution industry, placing it in the top 37.6%.
Is Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Ebos Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.48% is 10% below median its 10-year median of 13.83. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 11.15 to a high of 21.30. The Medical Distribution industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.13. Ebos Group's value of 12.48% is 36.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ebos Group ranks #32 out of 85 companies in the Medical Distribution industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ebos Group has a GF Score™ of 85/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ebos Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MCK and COR?
According to the Medical Distribution industry distribution chart, Ebos Group ranks #32 out of 85 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Ebos Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.13. Ebos Group's value of 12.48% is 36.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Ebos Group's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.15 to 21.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 13.83 vs. the industry median of 9.13, Ebos Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Medical Distribution company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Medical Distribution companies is 9.13, based on 85 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ebos Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.48% is 36.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ebos Group and its competitors. For the Medical Distribution industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.13 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ebos Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.48%, which is 10% below median its own 10-year median of 13.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ebos Group stock overvalued right now?
Ebos Group (EBOSY) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.48%. The stock's GF Value™ is $47.52, compared to a current price of $26.00 — trading 45.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.48%, which is 10% below median its 10-year median of 13.83 and 36.7% above the Medical Distribution industry median of 9.13. Ebos Group's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ebos Group (EBOSY), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.48% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ebos Group (EBOSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ebos Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $26.00 is trading 45.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $47.52.

Key valuation signals for EBOSY:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.48% (10% below median its 10-year median of 13.83)
  • GF Value™: $47.52 vs. price of $26.00 (45.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 36.7% above the Medical Distribution median (#32 of 85)

No single metric tells the full story. See the EBOSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ebos Group Business Description

Address 737 Bourke Street, Level 7, Docklands, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3008
Ebos is the largest pharmaceutical wholesaler across Australia and New Zealand. It services community pharmacies and hospitals, which contribute around 50% and 30% of revenue, respectively. Drug pricing and wholesale margins for PBS medicine are governed by the Australian government's Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme, or PBS. Wholesale gross margins are capped at 7% for community pharmacy and 10% for hospitals, and ongoing price reform typically results in low-single-digit revenue growth. Aside from pharma distribution, Ebos operates an animal health product wholesale, manufacturing and retail business, as well as undertaking third party logistics services. These segments are smaller contributors to group revenue but due to the unregulated nature are higher-margin operations.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EBOSY

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$26.00
Price
$47.52
GF Value