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Five Point Holdings LLCFPH +0.39%57 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates FPH with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.10 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,312 Real Estate companies, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks worse than 76219.44% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Five Point Holdings LLC's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 11 years, Five Point Holdings LLC's highest Forward Rate of Return was 2.91. The lowest was 2.91. And the median was 2.91.
FPH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 6.57 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Five Point Holdings LLC (NYSE:FPH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Five Point Holdings LLC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Five Point Holdings LLC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Five Point Holdings LLC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
FPH vs SKYH, OZ, AXR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Five Point Holdings LLC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Real Estate Industry
For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Five Point Holdings LLC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Five Point Holdings LLC and its competitors. Over the past decade, Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 2.91 to 2.91. According to the industry distribution chart, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks #999999 out of 1312 companies in the Real Estate industry.
Is Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Five Point Holdings LLC's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.91 to a high of 2.91. Based on the distribution chart, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks #999999 out of 1312 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Five Point Holdings LLC has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Five Point Holdings LLC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SKYH and OZ?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks #999999 out of 1312 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Five Point Holdings LLC in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.57. Historically, Five Point Holdings LLC's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 2.91 to 2.91 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Real Estate company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Real Estate companies is 6.57, based on 1,312 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Five Point Holdings LLC and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.57 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Five Point Holdings LLC's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Five Point Holdings LLC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.10, compared to a current price of $5.14 — trading 65.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Five Point Holdings LLC's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Five Point Holdings LLC stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $5.14 is trading 65.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.10.
GuruFocus considers Five Point Holdings LLC to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for FPH:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
GF Value™: $3.10 vs. price of $5.14 (65.8% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FPH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Five Point Holdings LLC is an owner and developer of mixed-use, master-planned communities in California. It is engaged in developing new communities that, in addition to homesites, include commercial, retail, educational, and recreational elements, as well as civic areas, parks, and open spaces. Its four reportable segments are Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone. It derives the majority of revenue from the Great Park segment, which includes Great Park Neighborhoods being developed adjacent to and around the Orange County Great Park, a metropolitan park under construction in Orange County, California.
57GF Score
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