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Zep (FRA:14Z) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 10.31% (As of Feb. 2015)


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What is Zep Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Zep's forward rate of return for was 10.31%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:14Z' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.5   Med: 18.3   Max: 29.4
Current: 9.54

During the past 11 years, Zep's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.40. The lowest was 9.50. And the median was 18.30.

FRA:14Z's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Chemicals industry.
Industry Median: 8.84 vs FRA:14Z: 9.54

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Zep Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zep Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Zep Annual Data
Trend Aug05 Aug06 Aug07 Aug08 Aug09 Aug10 Aug11 Aug12 Aug13 Aug14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 15.88 28.92 14.70

Zep Quarterly Data
May10 Aug10 Nov10 Feb11 May11 Aug11 Nov11 Feb12 May12 Aug12 Nov12 Feb13 May13 Aug13 Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.67 18.48 14.70 12.62 10.31

Competitive Comparison of Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Zep Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Zep's Forward Rate of Return of Feb. 2015 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.48685714/0+0.0706
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Zep  (FRA:14Z) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Zep Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Zep's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Zep (FRA:14Z) Business Description

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Zep Inc. was founded in 1937. It is a producer, marketer, and service provider of a range of cleaning and maintenance solutions for commercial, industrial, institutional, and consumer end-markets. Zeps product portfolio includes anti-bacterial and industrial hand care products, cleaners, degreasers, deodorizers, disinfectants, floor finishes, sanitizers, and pest and weed control products. It continually refreshes its product portfolio and service offerings. Zep reaches its customers through an experienced, international organization of sales representatives supported by highly skilled marketing, research and development and technical services teams, who collectively provide creative solutions for its customers' diverse cleaning and maintenance needs by utilizing their product expertise and providing customized value added services that it distinguish Zep among its competitors. Through its direct sales organization, Zep provides convenient, highly effective cleaning and maintenance solutions to customers in a broad array of commercial, industrial, and institutional end-markets, including transportation, food processing and service, manufacturing, government, and housekeeping. These customers include government entities and businesses ranging from small sole proprietorships to large corporations. It sells its products to customers mainly in the United States, Canada and Western Europe. Zep markes these products and services under well recognized and established brand names, such as Zep , Zep Commercial, Zep Professional, Enforcer, and Selig. Zep is its flagship brand and represents largest portfolio of cleaning and maintenance solutions for commercial, industrial, and institutional customers needing highly effective product solutions and professional technical support. Zep Commercial provides professional cleaning and plumbing chemical products targeted to contractors and small business owners and are currently sold through The Home Depot, HD Supply and other retailers. Zep Professional was introduced in fiscal year 2009 and represents its portfolio of cleaning and maintenance solutions that are offered to customers in the commercial, industrial, and institutional end-markets who prefer to acquire product through the distribution channel. Selig offers a limited assortment of cleaning solutions targeted to commercial, industrial and institutional customers. It produces a range of cleaning and maintenance solutions for commercial, industrial, institutional, and consumer customers. Zeps commercial, industrial, and institutional customers include government entities and businesses ranging from small sole proprietorships to large corporations as well as distributors. Its sales and service organization covers the United States, Canada, Italy, Belgium, Luxemburg, the Netherlands and certain other smaller markets. It manufactures products at six facilities located in the United States, Canada, the Netherlands, and Italy.The key raw materi

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