WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG (FRA:MSH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 36.31% (As of Dec. 2025) — 30% Above Median

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FRA:MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG FRA:MSH
67 GF Score
Price €8.60
GF Value €10.28
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG FRA:MSH 67 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 36.31% as of Dec. 2025, which is 30% above its 10-year median of 27.97. GuruFocus rates FRA:MSH with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of €10.28 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 221 Retail - Defensive companies, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG ranks better than 94.12% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's forward rate of return for was 36.31%.

The historical rank and industry rank for WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MSH' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.33   Med: 27.97   Max: 44.97
Current: 34.24

During the past 13 years, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's highest Forward Rate of Return was 44.97. The lowest was 6.33. And the median was 27.97.

FRA:MSH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
94.12% of 221 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 13.92 vs FRA:MSH: 34.24

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG  (FRA:MSH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.83 33.61 40.27 38.00 36.31

WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 38.00 0.00 36.31 0.00

FRA:MSH vs SYY, USFD, PFGC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


FRA:MSH
67GF Score
WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG FRA:MSH
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.85483333/8.05+0.0085
=36.31 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 36.31% mean?
WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG (FRA:MSH) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 36.31% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG and its competitors. This is 30% above median its historical median of 27.97. Over the past decade, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 6.33 to 44.97. According to the industry distribution chart, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG ranks #13 out of 221 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 5.9%.
Is WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 36.31% is 30% above median its 10-year median of 27.97. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.33 to a high of 44.97. The Retail - Defensive industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.92. WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's value of 36.31% is 160.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG ranks #13 out of 221 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SYY and USFD?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG ranks #13 out of 221 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.92. WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's value of 36.31% is 160.8% above this benchmark. Historically, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 6.33 to 44.97 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 27.97 vs. the industry median of 13.92, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Defensive companies is 13.92, based on 221 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 36.31% is 160.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.92 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 36.31%, which is 30% above median its own 10-year median of 27.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG (FRA:MSH) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €10.28, compared to a current price of €8.60 — trading 16.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 36.31%, which is 30% above median its 10-year median of 27.97 and 160.8% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 13.92. WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG (FRA:MSH), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 36.31% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG (FRA:MSH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €8.60 is trading 16.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of €10.28. GuruFocus considers WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:MSH:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 36.31% (30% above median its 10-year median of 27.97)
  • GF Value™: €10.28 vs. price of €8.60 (16.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 160.8% above the Retail - Defensive median (#13 of 221)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:MSH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG Business Description

Address Block 183 Mountain Street, Pirmasens, DEU, 66955
WASGAU Produktions & Handel AG is an independent food retailer in Germany. It also provides cakes, sweet pastries, cold and hot snacks, and breads and rolls under the WASGAU bakery brand.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:MSH

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€8.60
Price
€10.28
GF Value