What is Pacer International, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Pacer International,'s forward rate of return for was 0.46%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:PA1's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 11.665 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Pacer International, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Pacer International, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Pacer International, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Pacer International, (FRA:PA1) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Pacer International, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pacer International,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Pacer International, (FRA:PA1) Business Description
Pacer International, Inc., is an asset-light transportation and global logistics services provider. The Company provide its services from two operating segments, an intermodal segment, which provides intermodal transportation services mainly to beneficial cargo owners, transportation intermediaries and steamship lines who use intermodal transportation, and the logistics segment, which provides highway brokerage, supply chain management services, international freight forwarding, ocean shipping, and warehousing and distribution services to a wide variety of end-user customers. Intermodal segment offers full service door-to-door intermodal services to its customers, which include end-user customers, transportation intermediaries, such as intermodal marketing companies, and steamship lines. The Company logistics segment consists of: Highway brokerage services; International freight forwarding and NVOCC services; Warehousing and Distribution services; and Supply Chain Management services. The Company provides transportation and logistics services to many Fortune 500 and multi-national companies as well as to numerous other shippers and transportation third parties. The Company has direct sales and customer service representatives in its intermodal and logistics segments that sell and support its portfolio of services to a diverse customer base which includes beneficial cargo owners, steamship lines, truckload carriers, truck brokers, freight forwarders and other third party transportation service providers such as intermodal marketing companies, third-party logistics companies, and shippers' agents. The Company's main competitors are J.B. Hunt Transport, Schneider National, the Hub Group, C.H. Robinson, the supply chain solutions divisions of Ryder and Menlo Worldwide, Expeditors International and UTi Worldwide, Inc. The Company's facilities and operations are subject to federal, state and local environmental, hazardous materials transportation and occupational health and safety requirements, including those relating to the handling, labeling, shipping and transportation of hazardous materials, discharges of substances into the air, water and land, the handling, storage and disposal of wastes and the cleanup of properties affected by pollutants.
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