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Green PlainsGPRE -2.87%48 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates GPRE with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.65 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,258 Chemicals companies, Green Plains ranks worse than 90.54% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Green Plains's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Green Plains's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
GPRE'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -29.78 Med: -9.65 Max: 14.02
Current: -26.93
During the past 13 years, Green Plains's highest Forward Rate of Return was 14.02. The lowest was -29.78. And the median was -9.65.
GPRE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 90.54% of 1258
companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 3.485
vs GPRE: -26.93
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Green Plains (NAS:GPRE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Green Plains Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Green Plains Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Green Plains's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Green Plains Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
GPRE vs TROX, WLKP, LXU: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Chemicals subindustry, Green Plains's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Green Plains Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Green Plains's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Green Plains's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Green Plains Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Green Plains's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
-1.00438095
/
15.38
+
-0.2019
=
-26.72 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Green Plains (GPRE) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Green Plains and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Green Plains ranks #1139 out of 1258 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 90.5%.
Is Green Plains' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Green Plains' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Based on the distribution chart, Green Plains ranks #1139 out of 1258 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Green Plains has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Green Plains' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to TROX and WLKP?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Green Plains ranks #1139 out of 1258 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Green Plains in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.49. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Chemicals company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Chemicals companies is 3.49, based on 1,258 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Green Plains and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.49 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Green Plains's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Green Plains stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Green Plains (GPRE) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.65, compared to a current price of $14.90 — trading 94.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Green Plains' overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Green Plains (GPRE), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Green Plains (GPRE) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Green Plains stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $14.90 is trading 94.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $7.65.
GuruFocus considers Green Plains to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for GPRE:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
GF Value™: $7.65 vs. price of $14.90 (94.8% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the GPRE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Green Plains Inc manufactures and sells ethanol and ethanol byproducts in two segments based on function. The ethanol production segment, which generates the majority of revenue, includes the production of ethanol, distillers grains, Ultra-High Protein and renewable corn oil. The agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain handling and storage, commodity marketing and merchant trading for company-produced and third-party ethanol, distillers grains, Ultra-High Protein, renewable corn oil, natural gas and other commodities.
48GF Score
Get the complete analysis for GPRE
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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