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GS (The Goldmanchs Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 4.58% (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is The Goldmanchs Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. The Goldmanchs Group's forward rate of return for was 4.58%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

GS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.68   Med: 6.94   Max: 19.57
Current: 5.35

During the past 13 years, The Goldmanchs Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.57. The lowest was -10.68. And the median was 6.94.

GS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
63.32% of 488 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 11.745 vs GS: 5.35

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


The Goldmanchs Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Goldmanchs Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

The Goldmanchs Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.18 4.02 6.62 11.16 9.59

The Goldmanchs Group Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.66 9.59 4.15 10.08 4.58

Competitive Comparison of The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Capital Markets subindustry, The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



The Goldmanchs Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=-24.95790476/495.11+0.0962
=4.58 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Goldmanchs Group  (NYSE:GS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


The Goldmanchs Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Goldmanchs Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Goldmanchs Group Business Description

Address
200 West Street, New York, NY, USA, 10282
Goldman Sachs is a leading global investment banking and asset management firm. Approximately 20% of its revenue comes from investment banking, 45% from trading, 20% from asset management and 15% from wealth management and retail financial services. Around 60% of the company's net revenue is generated in the Americas, 15% in Asia, and 25% in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
Executives
David M Solomon officer: President and Co-COO C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
David A Viniar officer: Executive VP - CFO C/O GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Thomas K. Montag director C/O MERRILL LYNCH & CO., INC., 4 WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, NEW YORK NY 10038
Rogers John F.w. officer: EVP-Chief of Staff & Secretary C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Sheara J Fredman officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Denis P. Coleman officer: Chief Financial Officer 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Brian J Lee officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Mark A. Flaherty director C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Philip R. Berlinski officer: Global Treasurer 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Kathryn H. Ruemmler officer: EVP, Chief Legal Officer, GC 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Ericka T Leslie officer: Chief Administrative Officer 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
John E. Waldron officer: President and COO C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Kevin R Johnson director 2401 UTAH AVE. S, SUITE 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Laurence Stein officer: Chief Administrative Officer C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Stephen M Scherr officer: Executive Vice President - CFO C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282