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GDH Guangnan (Holdings)GUGNF 54 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.08% as of Dec. 2025, which is 1% above its 10-year median of 16.98. GuruFocus rates GUGNF with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.09. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,408 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) ranks better than 70.74% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s forward rate of return for was 17.08%.
The historical rank and industry rank for GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
GUGNF'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.58 Med: 16.98 Max: 31.74
Current: 16.32
During the past 13 years, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s highest Forward Rate of Return was 31.74. The lowest was 1.58. And the median was 16.98.
GUGNF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 70.74% of 1408
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 8.405
vs GUGNF: 16.32
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
GUGNF vs ADM, BG, TSN: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Farm Products subindustry, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.08% mean?
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (GUGNF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.08% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on GDH Guangnan (Holdings) and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 16.98. Over the past decade, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.58 to 31.74. According to the industry distribution chart, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) ranks #412 out of 1408 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 29.3%.
Is GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.08% is near median its 10-year median of 16.98. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.58 to a high of 31.74. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.41. GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s value of 17.08% is 103.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) ranks #412 out of 1408 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) has a GF Score™ of 54/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ADM and BG?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) ranks #412 out of 1408 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts GDH Guangnan (Holdings) in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.41. GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s value of 17.08% is 103.2% above this benchmark. Historically, GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.58 to 31.74 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 16.98 vs. the industry median of 8.41, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 8.41, based on 1,408 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.08% is 103.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on GDH Guangnan (Holdings) and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.08%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 16.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is GDH Guangnan (Holdings) stock overvalued right now?
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (GUGNF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.08%. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.09, compared to a current price of $0.06 — trading 33.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.08%, which is near median its 10-year median of 16.98 and 103.2% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 8.41. GDH Guangnan (Holdings)'s overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (GUGNF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.08% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is GDH Guangnan (Holdings) (GUGNF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GDH Guangnan (Holdings) stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $0.06 is trading 33.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.09.
Key valuation signals for GUGNF:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 17.08% (near median its 10-year median of 16.98)
GF Value™: $0.09 vs. price of $0.06 (33.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 103.2% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#412 of 1408)
No single metric tells the full story. See the GUGNF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
GDH Guangnan (Holdings) Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the distribution and trading of fresh and live foodstuffs, provision of slaughtering service, manufacturing and sales of tinplate products, and property leasing. It operates through three business segments. The Tinplating segment is engaged in the production and sales of tinplates and related products, which are used as packaging materials for food processing manufacturers. The Fresh and Live Foodstuffs segment, which derives maximum revenue is engaged in the distribution, purchasing, and sales of fresh and live foodstuffs. The Property Leasing segment is engaged in the leasing of office and industrial premises to generate rental income. It also involves the operation of pig farming and the distribution of live pigs.
54GF Score
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