SCG Construction Group JSC (HSTC:SCG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 5.70% (As of Jun. 2026) — 13% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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HSTC:SCG SCG Construction Group JSC HSTC:SCG
78 GF Score
Price ₫64,700.00
GF Value ₫200,899.60
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is SCG Construction Group JSC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

SCG Construction Group JSC HSTC:SCG 78 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.70% as of Jun. 2026, which is 13% below its 10-year median of 6.55. GuruFocus rates HSTC:SCG with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of ₫200,899.60 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,296 Construction companies, SCG Construction Group JSC ranks worse than 54.63% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. SCG Construction Group JSC's forward rate of return for was 5.70%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HSTC:SCG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.12   Med: 6.55   Max: 10.81
Current: 5.99

During the past 6 years, SCG Construction Group JSC's highest Forward Rate of Return was 10.81. The lowest was 5.12. And the median was 6.55.

HSTC:SCG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
54.63% of 1296 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 8.735 vs HSTC:SCG: 5.99

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


SCG Construction Group JSC  (HSTC:SCG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


SCG Construction Group JSC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


SCG Construction Group JSC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

SCG Construction Group JSC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

SCG Construction Group JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.60

SCG Construction Group JSC Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 10.60 5.59 5.70

HSTC:SCG vs PWR, FIX, EME: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SCG Construction Group JSC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


HSTC:SCG
78GF Score
SCG Construction Group JSC HSTC:SCG
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

SCG Construction Group JSC Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-9063.52495238/63400+0.2
=5.70 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.70% mean?
SCG Construction Group JSC (HSTC:SCG) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.70% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on SCG Construction Group JSC and its competitors. This is 13% below median its historical median of 6.55. Over the past decade, SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 5.12 to 10.81. According to the industry distribution chart, SCG Construction Group JSC ranks #708 out of 1296 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 54.6%.
Is SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
SCG Construction Group JSC's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.70% is 13% below median its 10-year median of 6.55. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 5.12 to a high of 10.81. The Construction industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.74. SCG Construction Group JSC's value of 5.70% is 34.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, SCG Construction Group JSC ranks #708 out of 1296 companies in the Construction industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, SCG Construction Group JSC has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SCG Construction Group JSC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, SCG Construction Group JSC ranks #708 out of 1296 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places SCG Construction Group JSC in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.74. SCG Construction Group JSC's value of 5.70% is 34.7% below this benchmark. Historically, SCG Construction Group JSC's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 5.12 to 10.81 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 6.55 vs. the industry median of 8.74, SCG Construction Group JSC has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Construction company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Construction companies is 8.74, based on 1,296 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. SCG Construction Group JSC's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.70% is 34.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on SCG Construction Group JSC and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. SCG Construction Group JSC's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.70%, which is 13% below median its own 10-year median of 6.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SCG Construction Group JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SCG Construction Group JSC (HSTC:SCG) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₫200,899.60, compared to a current price of ₫64,700.00 — trading 67.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.70%, which is 13% below median its 10-year median of 6.55 and 34.7% below the Construction industry median of 8.74. SCG Construction Group JSC's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SCG Construction Group JSC (HSTC:SCG), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.70% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SCG Construction Group JSC (HSTC:SCG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SCG Construction Group JSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₫64,700.00 is trading 67.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₫200,899.60. GuruFocus considers SCG Construction Group JSC to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HSTC:SCG:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 5.70% (13% below median its 10-year median of 6.55)
  • GF Value™: ₫200,899.60 vs. price of ₫64,700.00 (67.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 34.7% below the Construction median (#708 of 1296)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HSTC:SCG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SCG Construction Group JSC Business Description

Address No.16 Pham Hung Street, 8th Floor, Sunshine Center Building, My Dinh 2 Ward, Nam Tu Liem District, Hanoi, VNM
SCG Construction Group JSC is a construction corporation in Vietnam. The Diverse construction fields include high-rise buildings, urban areas, industry, infrastructure, seaports, airports, public works. The company prioritizes development in areas with growth potential in infrastructure, real estate, and industry, thereby optimizing investment opportunities and expanding its network of clients and partners.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HSTC:SCG

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₫64,700.00
Price
₫200,899.60
GF Value