Archroma Pakistan (KAR:ARPL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -9.04% (As of Jun. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

KAR:ARPL Archroma Pakistan Ltd KAR:ARPL
68 GF Score
Price ₨433.27
GF Value ₨456.72
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Archroma Pakistan Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Archroma Pakistan KAR:ARPL -0.72% 68 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -9.04% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:ARPL with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨456.72 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,258 Chemicals companies, Archroma Pakistan ranks worse than 64.07% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Archroma Pakistan's forward rate of return for was -9.04%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:ARPL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.97   Med: 13.1   Max: 27.73
Current: -3.9

During the past 13 years, Archroma Pakistan's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.73. The lowest was -5.97. And the median was 13.10.

KAR:ARPL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
64.07% of 1258 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 3.55 vs KAR:ARPL: -3.90

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Archroma Pakistan  (KAR:ARPL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Archroma Pakistan Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Archroma Pakistan Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Archroma Pakistan Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Archroma Pakistan Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.39 16.73 16.30 -2.01 -1.55

Archroma Pakistan Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.32 -10.87 -10.86 -10.27 -9.04

KAR:ARPL vs DOW: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Archroma Pakistan Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


KAR:ARPL
68GF Score
Archroma Pakistan Ltd KAR:ARPL
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Archroma Pakistan Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=31.31504762/400+-0.1687
=-9.04 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -9.04% mean?
Archroma Pakistan (KAR:ARPL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -9.04% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Archroma Pakistan and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Archroma Pakistan ranks #806 out of 1258 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 64.1%.
Is Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Archroma Pakistan's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -9.04%. Based on the distribution chart, Archroma Pakistan ranks #806 out of 1258 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Archroma Pakistan has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Archroma Pakistan's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to DOW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Archroma Pakistan ranks #806 out of 1258 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Archroma Pakistan in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.55. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Chemicals company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Chemicals companies is 3.55, based on 1,258 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Archroma Pakistan and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.55 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Archroma Pakistan's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -9.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Archroma Pakistan stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Archroma Pakistan (KAR:ARPL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨456.72, compared to a current price of ₨433.27 — trading 5.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -9.04%. Archroma Pakistan's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Archroma Pakistan (KAR:ARPL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -9.04% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Archroma Pakistan (KAR:ARPL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Archroma Pakistan stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₨433.27 is trading 5.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₨456.72. GuruFocus considers Archroma Pakistan to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:ARPL:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -9.04%
  • GF Value™: ₨456.72 vs. price of ₨433.27 (5.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:ARPL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Archroma Pakistan Business Description

Address Korangi Industrial Area, No. 1-A/1, Sector 20, Karachi, SD, PAK, 74900
Archroma Pakistan Ltd is a Pakistan-based color and specialty chemicals company. The company is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of chemicals, dyes, and chemicals for textiles, paper, packaging, coatings, and construction. The company provides services for managing whiteness, coloration, and special coatings across all types of paper. The company's key revenue comes from domestic sales.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:ARPL

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨433.27
Price
₨456.72
GF Value