STV Group (LSE:STVG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -4.35% (As of Dec. 2025)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LSE:STVG STV Group PLC LSE:STVG
54 GF Score
Price £1.08
GF Value £2.20
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is STV Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

STV Group LSE:STVG 54 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.35% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates LSE:STVG with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of £2.20 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 633 Media - Diversified companies, STV Group ranks worse than 68.25% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. STV Group's forward rate of return for was -4.35%.

The historical rank and industry rank for STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:STVG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.58   Med: 6.88   Max: 24.42
Current: -4.6

During the past 13 years, STV Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.42. The lowest was -9.58. And the median was 6.88.

LSE:STVG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
68.25% of 633 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 6.27 vs LSE:STVG: -4.60

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


STV Group  (LSE:STVG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


STV Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


STV Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

STV Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

STV Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.59 17.65 12.72 -0.51 -4.35

STV Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.72 0.00 -0.51 0.00 -4.35

LSE:STVG vs NXST: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Broadcasting subindustry, STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


STV Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


LSE:STVG
54GF Score
STV Group PLC LSE:STVG
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

STV Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

STV Group's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.112/1.055+-0.1497
=-4.35 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -4.35% mean?
STV Group (LSE:STVG) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -4.35% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on STV Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, STV Group ranks #432 out of 633 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, placing it in the top 68.2%.
Is STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
STV Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.35%. Based on the distribution chart, STV Group ranks #432 out of 633 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, STV Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does STV Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to NXST?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, STV Group ranks #432 out of 633 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places STV Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.27. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Media - Diversified company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Media - Diversified companies is 6.27, based on 633 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on STV Group and its competitors. For the Media - Diversified industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. STV Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.35%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is STV Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, STV Group (LSE:STVG) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is £2.20, compared to a current price of £1.08 — trading 50.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.35%. STV Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For STV Group (LSE:STVG), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.35% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is STV Group (LSE:STVG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, STV Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £1.08 is trading 50.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of £2.20. GuruFocus considers STV Group to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for LSE:STVG:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -4.35%
  • GF Value™: £2.20 vs. price of £1.08 (50.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:STVG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


STV Group Business Description

Other Exchanges STVGl:UK
Address Pacific Quay, Glasgow, GBR, G51 1PQ
STV Group PLC is Scotland's digital media brand, providing consumers with quality content on air, online, and on demand. It is engaged in the production and broadcasting of television programs, the provision of internet services, and the sale of advertising airtime and space in these media. Its segments are Audience and Studios. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Audience segment. The group operates digital services in four cities in Scotland, which provide news, events, offers, pictures, and videos for consumers: STV Glasgow, STV Edinburgh, STV Aberdeen, and STV Dundee.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:STVG

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£1.08
Price
£2.20
GF Value