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Maxxam (Maxxam) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -35.75% (As of Sep. 2009)


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What is Maxxam Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Maxxam's forward rate of return for was -35.75%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MAXX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 5.07
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Maxxam Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Maxxam Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Maxxam Annual Data
Trend Dec99 Dec00 Dec01 Dec02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -76.88 -50.67 -29.13 -18.27 -10.87

Maxxam Quarterly Data
Dec04 Mar05 Jun05 Sep05 Dec05 Mar06 Jun06 Sep06 Dec06 Mar07 Jun07 Sep07 Dec07 Mar08 Jun08 Sep08 Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -13.33 -10.87 -16.62 -27.95 -35.75

Competitive Comparison of Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Maxxam Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2009 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-4372.38/2541.25+-0.0591
=-177.97 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Maxxam  (OTCPK:MAXX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Maxxam Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Maxxam's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Maxxam (Maxxam) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » Maxxam Inc (OTCPK:MAXX) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Maxxam Inc through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the residential and commercial real estate investment and development, and racing operations.
Executives
Charles E Hurwitz director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board & CEO 1330 POST OAK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77056
Robert J Cruikshank director 2001 KIRBY, SUITE 313, HOUSTON TX 77019
Ezra G Levin director 1330 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77056
Luxor Capital Group, Lp 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Luxor Capital Partners Offshore Ltd 10 percent owner C/O MAPLES CORPORATE SERVICES LTD., PO BOX 309, UGLAND HOUSE, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-1104
Luxor Capital Partners, Lp 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Elizabeth D Brumley officer: Controller 9800 RICHMOND AVE., SUITE 700, HOUSTON TX 77042
Lcg Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036

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