MDDNF (Meridian Energy) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Jun. 2026)

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MDDNF Meridian Energy Ltd MDDNF
75 GF Score
Price $3.50
GF Value $3.54
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Meridian Energy MDDNF 75 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates MDDNF with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.54 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 263 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Meridian Energy ranks worse than 58.56% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Meridian Energy's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MDDNF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.58   Med: 2.55   Max: 13.59
Current: 2.8

During the past 13 years, Meridian Energy's highest Forward Rate of Return was 13.59. The lowest was -11.58. And the median was 2.55.

MDDNF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
58.56% of 263 companies
in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry
Industry Median: 6.21 vs MDDNF: 2.80

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Meridian Energy  (OTCPK:MDDNF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Meridian Energy Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.45 0.96 2.39 0.00 0.00

Meridian Energy Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


MDDNF
75GF Score
Meridian Energy Ltd MDDNF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Meridian Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.09383333/3.37+-0.0172
=1.06 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Meridian Energy (MDDNF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Meridian Energy and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Meridian Energy ranks #154 out of 263 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 58.6%.
Is Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Meridian Energy's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Based on the distribution chart, Meridian Energy ranks #154 out of 263 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Meridian Energy has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Meridian Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Meridian Energy ranks #154 out of 263 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Meridian Energy in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.21. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies is 6.21, based on 263 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Meridian Energy and its competitors. For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.21 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Meridian Energy's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Meridian Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Meridian Energy (MDDNF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.54, compared to a current price of $3.50 — trading 1.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Meridian Energy's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Meridian Energy (MDDNF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Meridian Energy (MDDNF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Meridian Energy stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $3.50 is trading 1.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.54. GuruFocus considers Meridian Energy to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MDDNF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
  • GF Value™: $3.54 vs. price of $3.50 (1.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MDDNF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Meridian Energy Business Description

Address 98 Customhouse Quay, Level 2, Wellington, NZL, 6011
Meridian Energy is one of New Zealand's leading utilities. It is the largest electricity producer in the nation, with a third of the market, and the fourth-largest energy retailer, with about 15% of the market by customer numbers. It generates 100% renewable electricity, mainly from large hydroelectric schemes in the South Island. It also owns a geographically diversified portfolio of wind farms.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MDDNF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$3.50
Price
$3.54
GF Value