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Mayville Engineering CoMEC -0.83%75 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32% as of Jun. 2026, which is 54% below its 10-year median of 22.34. GuruFocus rates MEC with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $15.95 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,149 Industrial Products companies, Mayville Engineering Co ranks better than 58.91% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Mayville Engineering Co's forward rate of return for was 10.32%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
MEC'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.91 Med: 22.34 Max: 28.5
Current: 11.47
During the past 9 years, Mayville Engineering Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.50. The lowest was 1.91. And the median was 22.34.
MEC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 58.91% of 2149
companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 7.36
vs MEC: 11.47
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Mayville Engineering Co (NYSE:MEC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Mayville Engineering Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Mayville Engineering Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Mayville Engineering Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
MEC vs IIIN, TG, LQMT: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Mayville Engineering Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Industrial Products Industry
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Mayville Engineering Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.32% mean?
Mayville Engineering Co (MEC) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.32% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Mayville Engineering Co and its competitors. This is 54% below median its historical median of 22.34. Over the past decade, Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.91 to 28.50. According to the industry distribution chart, Mayville Engineering Co ranks #883 out of 2149 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 41.1%.
Is Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Mayville Engineering Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.32% is 54% below median its 10-year median of 22.34. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.91 to a high of 28.50. The Industrial Products industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.36. Mayville Engineering Co's value of 10.32% is 40.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mayville Engineering Co ranks #883 out of 2149 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Mayville Engineering Co has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mayville Engineering Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to IIIN and TG?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Mayville Engineering Co ranks #883 out of 2149 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Mayville Engineering Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.36. Mayville Engineering Co's value of 10.32% is 40.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Mayville Engineering Co's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.91 to 28.50 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 22.34 vs. the industry median of 7.36, Mayville Engineering Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Industrial Products company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Industrial Products companies is 7.36, based on 2,149 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mayville Engineering Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.32% is 40.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Mayville Engineering Co and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mayville Engineering Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32%, which is 54% below median its own 10-year median of 22.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mayville Engineering Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mayville Engineering Co (MEC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $15.95, compared to a current price of $23.89 — trading 49.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32%, which is 54% below median its 10-year median of 22.34 and 40.2% above the Industrial Products industry median of 7.36. Mayville Engineering Co's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mayville Engineering Co (MEC), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.32% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Mayville Engineering Co (MEC) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mayville Engineering Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $23.89 is trading 49.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $15.95.
GuruFocus considers Mayville Engineering Co to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MEC:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.32% (54% below median its 10-year median of 22.34)
GF Value™: $15.95 vs. price of $23.89 (49.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 40.2% above the Industrial Products median (#883 of 2149)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Mayville Engineering Co Inc is involved in a manufacturing partner providing a full suite of manufacturing solutions from concept to production, including design, prototyping and tooling, fabrication, aluminum extrusion, coating, assembly, and aftermarket components. Its customers operate in diverse end markets, including heavy- and medium-duty commercial vehicles, construction, powersports, agriculture, military, and other end markets. Its services comprise stamping, shearing, fiber laser cutting, forming, drilling, tapping, grinding, tube bending, machining, welding, assembly, and logistic services.
75GF Score
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