Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. MDU Resources Group's forward rate of return for was -4.99%.
The historical rank and industry rank for MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:MDU'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.96 Med: 5.22 Max: 14.88
Current: -5.1
During the past 13 years, MDU Resources Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 14.88. The lowest was -11.96. And the median was 5.22.
MEX:MDU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 79.76% of 425
companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 6.81
vs MEX:MDU: -5.10
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
MDU Resources Group (MEX:MDU) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
MDU Resources Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
MDU Resources Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MDU Resources Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
MEX:MDU vs SR, OGS, CPK: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
MDU Resources Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
MDU Resources Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -4.99% mean?
MDU Resources Group (MEX:MDU) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -4.99% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on MDU Resources Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, MDU Resources Group ranks #339 out of 425 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 79.8%.
Is MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
MDU Resources Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.99%. Based on the distribution chart, MDU Resources Group ranks #339 out of 425 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, MDU Resources Group has a GF Score™ of 74/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MDU Resources Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SR and OGS?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, MDU Resources Group ranks #339 out of 425 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places MDU Resources Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.81. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Utilities - Regulated companies is 6.81, based on 425 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on MDU Resources Group and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.81 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. MDU Resources Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.99%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MDU Resources Group stock overvalued right now?
MDU Resources Group (MEX:MDU) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -4.99%. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN297.81, compared to a current price of MXN319.00 — trading 7.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.99%. MDU Resources Group's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MDU Resources Group (MEX:MDU), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -4.99% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is MDU Resources Group (MEX:MDU) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MDU Resources Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN319.00 is trading 7.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN297.81.
Key valuation signals for MEX:MDU:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -4.99%
GF Value™: MXN297.81 vs. price of MXN319.00 (7.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MDU stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
MDU Resources Group Inc is a pure-play regulated energy delivery business. It is organized into three reportable business segments: Electric, Natural Gas Distribution, and Pipeline. Maximum revenue is generated from the Pipeline segment, which provides natural gas transportation and underground storage services through a FERC-regulated pipeline system mainly in the Rocky Mountain and northern Great Plains regions of the United States. This segment also provides non-regulated energy-related services, including cathodic protection. The electric segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming, and the natural gas distribution segment distributes natural gas in those states, as well as in Idaho, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington.
74GF Score
Get the complete analysis for MEX:MDU
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
MEX:MDU has been successfully added to your 
