Mohawk Industries (MEX:MHK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 2.25% (As of Jun. 2026) — 64% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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MEX:MHK Mohawk Industries Inc MEX:MHK
77 GF Score
Price MXN2,048.43
GF Value MXN1,943.74
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Mohawk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Mohawk Industries MEX:MHK 77 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.25% as of Jun. 2026, which is 64% below its 10-year median of 6.28. GuruFocus rates MEX:MHK with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,943.74. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 330 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies, Mohawk Industries ranks worse than 58.79% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Mohawk Industries's forward rate of return for was 2.25%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mohawk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MHK' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -17.1   Med: 6.28   Max: 22.77
Current: 1.95

During the past 13 years, Mohawk Industries's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.77. The lowest was -17.10. And the median was 6.28.

MEX:MHK's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
58.79% of 330 companies
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry
Industry Median: 5.985 vs MEX:MHK: 1.95

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Mohawk Industries  (MEX:MHK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Mohawk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Mohawk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mohawk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mohawk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Mohawk Industries Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.75 7.16 -8.52 -8.79 -1.88

Mohawk Industries Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.07 -3.95 -1.88 0.40 2.25

MEX:MHK vs ALH, SGI, HNI: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Mohawk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mohawk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mohawk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mohawk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


MEX:MHK
77GF Score
Mohawk Industries Inc MEX:MHK
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Mohawk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Mohawk Industries's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=156.09809524/2048.43+-0.0654
=1.08 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.25% mean?
Mohawk Industries (MEX:MHK) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.25% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Mohawk Industries and its competitors. This is 64% below median its historical median of 6.28. According to the industry distribution chart, Mohawk Industries ranks #194 out of 330 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, placing it in the top 58.8%.
Is Mohawk Industries' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Mohawk Industries' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.25% is 64% below median its 10-year median of 6.28. The Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.99. Mohawk Industries' value of 2.25% is 62.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mohawk Industries ranks #194 out of 330 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Mohawk Industries has a GF Score™ of 77/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mohawk Industries' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ALH and SGI?
According to the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry distribution chart, Mohawk Industries ranks #194 out of 330 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Mohawk Industries in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.99. Mohawk Industries' value of 2.25% is 62.4% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 6.28 vs. the industry median of 5.99, Mohawk Industries has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies is 5.99, based on 330 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mohawk Industries's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.25% is 62.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Mohawk Industries and its competitors. For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.99 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mohawk Industries's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.25%, which is 64% below median its own 10-year median of 6.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mohawk Industries stock overvalued right now?
Mohawk Industries (MEX:MHK) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.25%. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,943.74, compared to a current price of MXN2,048.43 — trading 5.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.25%, which is 64% below median its 10-year median of 6.28 and 62.4% below the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median of 5.99. Mohawk Industries' overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mohawk Industries (MEX:MHK), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.25% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mohawk Industries (MEX:MHK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mohawk Industries stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN2,048.43 is trading 5.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,943.74.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MHK:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 2.25% (64% below median its 10-year median of 6.28)
  • GF Value™: MXN1,943.74 vs. price of MXN2,048.43 (5.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 9 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 62.4% below the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median (#194 of 330)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MHK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mohawk Industries Business Description

Address 160 South Industrial Boulevard, Calhoun, GA, USA, 30701
Mohawk Industries Inc manufactures a wide range of flooring products, including carpets, rugs, ceramic tile, laminate, wood, luxury vinyl tile, and vinyl flooring. Its operating segments include Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company generates maximum revenue from the Global Ceramic segment. Global Ceramic designs, manufactures, sources, distributes and markets a broad line of ceramic, porcelain and natural stone tile products used for floor and wall applications in residential and commercial channels for both remodeling and new construction. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States, while it also operates in Latin America, Europe and Others.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MHK

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,048.43
Price
MXN1,943.74
GF Value