NHBAF (Nichiban Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 5.92% (As of Mar. 2026) — 36% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NHBAF Nichiban Co Ltd NHBAF
64 GF Score
Price $12.70
GF Value $13.21
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Nichiban Co NHBAF 64 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.92% as of Mar. 2026, which is 36% below its 10-year median of 9.29. GuruFocus rates NHBAF with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.21. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,145 Industrial Products companies, Nichiban Co ranks worse than 53.38% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Nichiban Co's forward rate of return for was 5.92%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NHBAF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -24.76   Med: 9.29   Max: 22.8
Current: 5.78

During the past 13 years, Nichiban Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.80. The lowest was -24.76. And the median was 9.29.

NHBAF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
53.38% of 2145 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 7.37 vs NHBAF: 5.78

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Nichiban Co  (OTCPK:NHBAF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Nichiban Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.81 -0.12 1.95 9.13 5.92

Nichiban Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.92

Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Business Equipment & Supplies subindustry, Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


NHBAF
64GF Score
Nichiban Co Ltd NHBAF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nichiban Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.41616667/12.7+-0.0442
=-1.14 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.92% mean?
Nichiban Co (NHBAF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.92% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nichiban Co and its competitors. This is 36% below median its historical median of 9.29. According to the industry distribution chart, Nichiban Co ranks #1145 out of 2145 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 53.4%.
Is Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Nichiban Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.92% is 36% below median its 10-year median of 9.29. The Industrial Products industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.37. Nichiban Co's value of 5.92% is 19.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nichiban Co ranks #1145 out of 2145 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nichiban Co has a GF Score™ of 64/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nichiban Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Nichiban Co ranks #1145 out of 2145 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Nichiban Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.37. Nichiban Co's value of 5.92% is 19.7% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 9.29 vs. the industry median of 7.37, Nichiban Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Industrial Products company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Industrial Products companies is 7.37, based on 2,145 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nichiban Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.92% is 19.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nichiban Co and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.37 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nichiban Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.92%, which is 36% below median its own 10-year median of 9.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nichiban Co stock overvalued right now?
Nichiban Co (NHBAF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.92%. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.21, compared to a current price of $12.70 — trading 3.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.92%, which is 36% below median its 10-year median of 9.29 and 19.7% below the Industrial Products industry median of 7.37. Nichiban Co's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nichiban Co (NHBAF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.92% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nichiban Co (NHBAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nichiban Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $12.70 is trading 3.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $13.21.

Key valuation signals for NHBAF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 5.92% (36% below median its 10-year median of 9.29)
  • GF Value™: $13.21 vs. price of $12.70 (3.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 19.7% below the Industrial Products median (#1145 of 2145)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NHBAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nichiban Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 4218:Japan
Address 2-3-3, Sekiguchi, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 112-8663
Nichiban Co Ltd is a Japan based company engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling products in the field of medical supplies, healthcare, industrial products and industrial products. It offers hemostatic solutions, wound care dressing and surgical tapes, industrial products for manufacturing and distribution and automotive industry, stationery products, TDS pharmaceutical pain relief plaster and foot care products, sports medical battlewin taping tape and first aid bandage.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NHBAF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$12.70
Price
$13.21
GF Value