NHMBF (Nohmi Bosai) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 14.03% (As of Mar. 2026) — 81% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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NHMBF Nohmi Bosai Ltd NHMBF
90 GF Score
Price $23.37
GF Value $18.73
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Nohmi Bosai Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Nohmi Bosai NHMBF 90 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.03% as of Mar. 2026, which is 81% above its 10-year median of 7.77. GuruFocus rates NHMBF with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $18.73. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 721 Business Services companies, Nohmi Bosai ranks better than 50.07% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Nohmi Bosai's forward rate of return for was 14.03%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NHMBF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.87   Med: 7.77   Max: 27.13
Current: 13.81

During the past 13 years, Nohmi Bosai's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.13. The lowest was -5.87. And the median was 7.77.

NHMBF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
50.07% of 721 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 13.81 vs NHMBF: 13.81

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Nohmi Bosai  (OTCPK:NHMBF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Nohmi Bosai Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Nohmi Bosai Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nohmi Bosai Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Nohmi Bosai Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.30 5.59 4.85 5.85 14.03

Nohmi Bosai Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.03

NHMBF vs ALLE, MSA, ADT: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nohmi Bosai Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


NHMBF
90GF Score
Nohmi Bosai Ltd NHMBF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nohmi Bosai Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.1315/23.37+0.0218
=7.02 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.03% mean?
Nohmi Bosai (NHMBF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.03% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nohmi Bosai and its competitors. This is 81% above median its historical median of 7.77. According to the industry distribution chart, Nohmi Bosai ranks #360 out of 721 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 49.9%.
Is Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Nohmi Bosai's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.03% is 81% above median its 10-year median of 7.77. The Business Services industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.81. Nohmi Bosai's value of 14.03% is 1.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nohmi Bosai ranks #360 out of 721 companies in the Business Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Nohmi Bosai has a GF Score™ of 90/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nohmi Bosai's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ALLE and MSA?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Nohmi Bosai ranks #360 out of 721 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Nohmi Bosai in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.81. Nohmi Bosai's value of 14.03% is 1.6% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 7.77 vs. the industry median of 13.81, Nohmi Bosai has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Business Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Business Services companies is 13.81, based on 721 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nohmi Bosai's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.03% is 1.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nohmi Bosai and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.81 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nohmi Bosai's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.03%, which is 81% above median its own 10-year median of 7.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nohmi Bosai stock overvalued right now?
Nohmi Bosai (NHMBF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.03%. The stock's GF Value™ is $18.73, compared to a current price of $23.37 — trading 24.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.03%, which is 81% above median its 10-year median of 7.77 and 1.6% above the Business Services industry median of 13.81. Nohmi Bosai's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nohmi Bosai (NHMBF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.03% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nohmi Bosai (NHMBF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nohmi Bosai stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $23.37 is trading 24.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $18.73.

Key valuation signals for NHMBF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 14.03% (81% above median its 10-year median of 7.77)
  • GF Value™: $18.73 vs. price of $23.37 (24.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 1.6% above the Business Services median (#360 of 721)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NHMBF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nohmi Bosai Business Description

Other Exchanges 6744:Japan
Address 4-7-3 Kudan-Minami, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 102-8277
Nohmi Bosai Ltd manufactures fire alarm systems. The company offers fire alarm systems and fire extinguishing systems such as automatic fire alarm systems, environmental monitoring systems, fire doors and smoke control systems, sprinkler systems, foam systems, and fire protection equipment. Its products and solutions are used in homes and large commercial and industrial facilities, including office buildings, leisure complexes, industrial plants, factories, and road tunnels. The company also offers maintenance services including inspections and repairs, telephone support, and fire protection consulting services. Nohmi Bosai operates primarily in Japan.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NHMBF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$23.37
Price
$18.73
GF Value