NNRDF (Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 32.80% (As of Mar. 2026) — 336% Above Median

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NNRDF Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Ltd NNRDF
65 GF Score
Price $15.00
GF Value $13.69
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co NNRDF 65 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.80% as of Mar. 2026, which is 336% above its 10-year median of 7.52. GuruFocus rates NNRDF with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.69. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 752 Transportation companies, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co ranks better than 90.96% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's forward rate of return for was 32.80%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NNRDF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -23.56   Med: 7.52   Max: 32.84
Current: 32.84

During the past 13 years, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 32.84. The lowest was -23.56. And the median was 7.52.

NNRDF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
90.96% of 752 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 10.525 vs NNRDF: 32.84

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co  (OTCPK:NNRDF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 12.39 30.30 35.77 32.80

Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.80 0.00

NNRDF vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


NNRDF
65GF Score
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Ltd NNRDF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.67566667/15+0.2
=37.84 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.80% mean?
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co (NNRDF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.80% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co and its competitors. This is 336% above median its historical median of 7.52. According to the industry distribution chart, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co ranks #68 out of 752 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 9%.
Is Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.80% is 336% above median its 10-year median of 7.52. The Transportation industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.53. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's value of 32.80% is 211.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co ranks #68 out of 752 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co has a GF Score™ of 65/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co ranks #68 out of 752 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co in the top 9% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.53. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's value of 32.80% is 211.6% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 7.52 vs. the industry median of 10.53, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Transportation company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Transportation companies is 10.53, based on 752 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.80% is 211.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.80%, which is 336% above median its own 10-year median of 7.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co stock overvalued right now?
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co (NNRDF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 32.80%. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.69, compared to a current price of $15.00 — trading 9.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.80%, which is 336% above median its 10-year median of 7.52 and 211.6% above the Transportation industry median of 10.53. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co (NNRDF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 32.80% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co (NNRDF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $15.00 is trading 9.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $13.69.

Key valuation signals for NNRDF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 32.80% (336% above median its 10-year median of 7.52)
  • GF Value™: $13.69 vs. price of $15.00 (9.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 211.6% above the Transportation median (#68 of 752)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NNRDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 9031:Japan
Address 3-5-7 Hakataekimae, Hakata Ward, Fukuoka, JPN, 810-8570
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co Ltd organises itself into six segments: transportation, real estate, distribution, logistics, leisure, and other. The transportation segment transports passengers by rail, bus, and taxi. The real estate business develops, sells, and leases commercial and residential buildings. The distribution segment operates supermarkets. The logistics segment operates an international air-cargo-handling business. The leisure segment operates hotels and other leisure businesses. The company derives the majority of its revenue domestically.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NNRDF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$15.00
Price
$13.69
GF Value