SPC Power (PHS:SPC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.01% (As of Mar. 2026) — 165% Above Median

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PHS:SPC SPC Power Corp PHS:SPC
85 GF Score
Price ₱10.22
GF Value ₱9.29
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is SPC Power Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

SPC Power PHS:SPC -0.78% 85 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.01% as of Mar. 2026, which is 165% above its 10-year median of 4.53. GuruFocus rates PHS:SPC with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱9.29 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 429 Utilities - Regulated companies, SPC Power ranks better than 65.97% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. SPC Power's forward rate of return for was 12.01%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:SPC' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.69   Med: 4.53   Max: 28.41
Current: 11.94

During the past 13 years, SPC Power's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.41. The lowest was -9.69. And the median was 4.53.

PHS:SPC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
65.97% of 429 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 6.9 vs PHS:SPC: 11.94

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


SPC Power  (PHS:SPC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


SPC Power Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


SPC Power Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

SPC Power Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

SPC Power Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.00 -9.69 -6.22 -7.12 9.16

SPC Power Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.27 -0.50 5.47 9.16 12.01

PHS:SPC vs NEE, SO, DUK: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SPC Power Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


PHS:SPC
85GF Score
SPC Power Corp PHS:SPC
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

SPC Power Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.31657143/10+0.0884
=12.01 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.01% mean?
SPC Power (PHS:SPC) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.01% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on SPC Power and its competitors. This is 165% above median its historical median of 4.53. According to the industry distribution chart, SPC Power ranks #146 out of 429 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 34%.
Is SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
SPC Power's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.01% is 165% above median its 10-year median of 4.53. The Utilities - Regulated industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.90. SPC Power's value of 12.01% is 74.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, SPC Power ranks #146 out of 429 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, SPC Power has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SPC Power's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to NEE and SO?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, SPC Power ranks #146 out of 429 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts SPC Power in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.90. SPC Power's value of 12.01% is 74.1% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 4.53 vs. the industry median of 6.90, SPC Power has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Utilities - Regulated companies is 6.90, based on 429 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. SPC Power's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.01% is 74.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on SPC Power and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.90 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. SPC Power's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.01%, which is 165% above median its own 10-year median of 4.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SPC Power stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SPC Power (PHS:SPC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱9.29, compared to a current price of ₱10.22 — trading 10% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.01%, which is 165% above median its 10-year median of 4.53 and 74.1% above the Utilities - Regulated industry median of 6.90. SPC Power's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SPC Power (PHS:SPC), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.01% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SPC Power (PHS:SPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SPC Power stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₱10.22 is trading 10% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₱9.29. GuruFocus considers SPC Power to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:SPC:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.01% (165% above median its 10-year median of 4.53)
  • GF Value™: ₱9.29 vs. price of ₱10.22 (10% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 74.1% above the Utilities - Regulated median (#146 of 429)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:SPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SPC Power Business Description

Address 8741, Paseo de Roxas, 7th Floor, P.O Box 1222, BDO Towers Paseo, Makati City, PHL, 1209
SPC Power Corp is managed through two segments: Generation segment which includes generation and supply of power and ancillary services to NPC/PSALM, NGCP, distribution utilities, WESM, and other customers, and Others which includes the operations of SECL, SLCI, CNPC and SMPC such as to manage, operate and invest in power generating plants and related facilities. The majority of revenue is generated from generation segment. It operates and generates revenue principally only in the Philippines.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:SPC

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱10.22
Price
₱9.29
GF Value