PSBAF (PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.56% (As of Jun. 2026) — 28% Below Median

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PSBAF PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk PSBAF
81 GF Score
Price $0.12
GF Value $0.27
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What is PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk PSBAF -7.70% 81 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.56% as of Jun. 2026, which is 28% below its 10-year median of 21.51. GuruFocus rates PSBAF with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.27. Among 218 Retail - Defensive companies, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk ranks better than 55.05% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's forward rate of return for was 15.56%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PSBAF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.96   Med: 21.51   Max: 27.42
Current: 15.37

During the past 13 years, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.42. The lowest was 9.96. And the median was 21.51.

PSBAF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
55.05% of 218 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 14.08 vs PSBAF: 15.37

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk  (OTCPK:PSBAF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.63 23.45 22.71 22.55 15.09

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.54 18.54 15.09 15.88 15.56

PSBAF vs KR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


PSBAF
81GF Score
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk PSBAF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.00495238/0.121+0.0814
=12.23 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.56% mean?
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (PSBAF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.56% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk and its competitors. This is 28% below median its historical median of 21.51. Over the past decade, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 9.96 to 27.42. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk ranks #98 out of 218 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 45%.
Is PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.56% is 28% below median its 10-year median of 21.51. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 9.96 to a high of 27.42. The Retail - Defensive industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.08. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's value of 15.56% is 10.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk ranks #98 out of 218 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk has a GF Score™ of 81/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to KR?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk ranks #98 out of 218 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.08. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's value of 15.56% is 10.5% above this benchmark. Historically, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 9.96 to 27.42 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 21.51 vs. the industry median of 14.08, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Defensive companies is 14.08, based on 218 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.56% is 10.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.08 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.56%, which is 28% below median its own 10-year median of 21.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk stock overvalued right now?
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (PSBAF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.56%. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.27, compared to a current price of $0.12 — trading 55.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.56%, which is 28% below median its 10-year median of 21.51 and 10.5% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 14.08. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 81/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (PSBAF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.56% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (PSBAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.12 is trading 55.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.27.

Key valuation signals for PSBAF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.56% (28% below median its 10-year median of 21.51)
  • GF Value™: $0.27 vs. price of $0.12 (55.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100
  • Industry Position: 10.5% above the Retail - Defensive median (#98 of 218)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PSBAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Business Description

Other Exchanges AMRT:Indonesia
Address Jalan Jalur Sutera Barat Kav. 9, Alfa Tower, Alam Sutera, Prov. Banten, Tangerang, IDN, 15143
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk operates in the retail trading sector through minimarket and supermarket formats, including franchise services, focusing on the sale of daily essential goods supported by logistics and distribution networks. The Company and its Subsidiaries generate revenue mainly from merchandise sales, along with other income such as promotional participation and franchise activities, and also provide services including bill payments, e-vouchers, e-ticketing, and financial and digital transaction services. It operates across Indonesia through its store network and distribution infrastructure located in regions such as Sumatra, Java, Bali, and Nusa Tenggara, with store locations in residential areas, apartments, hotels, airports, seaports, terminals, and railway stations.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PSBAF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.12
Price
$0.27
GF Value