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Precision DrillingTSX:PD +4.84%78 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 22.07% as of Jun. 2026, which is 5% below its 10-year median of 23.13. GuruFocus rates TSX:PD with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of C$98.89 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 608 Oil & Gas companies, Precision Drilling ranks better than 71.55% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Precision Drilling's forward rate of return for was 22.07%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
TSX:PD'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.1 Med: 23.13 Max: 38.6
Current: 20.93
During the past 13 years, Precision Drilling's highest Forward Rate of Return was 38.60. The lowest was 3.10. And the median was 23.13.
TSX:PD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 71.55% of 608
companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 13.245
vs TSX:PD: 20.93
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Precision Drilling (TSX:PD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Precision Drilling Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Precision Drilling Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Precision Drilling Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
TSX:PD vs NE, RIG, VAL: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Precision Drilling Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Precision Drilling Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 22.07% mean?
Precision Drilling (TSX:PD) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 22.07% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Precision Drilling and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 23.13. Over the past decade, Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.10 to 38.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Precision Drilling ranks #173 out of 608 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 28.5%.
Is Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Precision Drilling's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 22.07% is near median its 10-year median of 23.13. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.10 to a high of 38.60. The Oil & Gas industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.25. Precision Drilling's value of 22.07% is 66.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Precision Drilling ranks #173 out of 608 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Precision Drilling has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Precision Drilling's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to NE and RIG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Precision Drilling ranks #173 out of 608 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Precision Drilling in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.25. Precision Drilling's value of 22.07% is 66.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Precision Drilling's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.10 to 38.60 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 23.13 vs. the industry median of 13.25, Precision Drilling has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Oil & Gas companies is 13.25, based on 608 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Precision Drilling's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 22.07% is 66.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Precision Drilling and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Precision Drilling's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 22.07%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 23.13. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Precision Drilling stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Precision Drilling (TSX:PD) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$98.89, compared to a current price of C$122.98 — trading 24.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 22.07%, which is near median its 10-year median of 23.13 and 66.6% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 13.25. Precision Drilling's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Precision Drilling (TSX:PD), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 22.07% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Precision Drilling (TSX:PD) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Precision Drilling stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of C$122.98 is trading 24.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$98.89.
GuruFocus considers Precision Drilling to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for TSX:PD:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 22.07% (near median its 10-year median of 23.13)
GF Value™: C$98.89 vs. price of C$122.98 (24.4% above fair value)
Industry Position: 66.6% above the Oil & Gas median (#173 of 608)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:PD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Precision Drilling Corp is a provider of contract drilling, completion, and production services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in Canada, the United States, and certain international locations. The company operates through two industry segments: Contract Drilling Services, which generates maximum revenue and includes drilling rigs, procurement and distribution of oilfield supplies, and the manufacture, sale, and repair of drilling equipment; and Completion and Production Services, which includes service rigs, oilfield equipment rental, and camp services. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the United States.
78GF Score
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