Southern Co (WBO:SOUT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.03% (As of Jun. 2026) — 276% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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WBO:SOUT Southern Co WBO:SOUT
74 GF Score
Price €77.00
GF Value €81.43
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Southern Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Southern Co WBO:SOUT -2.51% 74 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.03% as of Jun. 2026, which is 276% above its 10-year median of 2.67. GuruFocus rates WBO:SOUT with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of €81.43 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 425 Utilities - Regulated companies, Southern Co ranks better than 60.71% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Southern Co's forward rate of return for was 10.03%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:SOUT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.63   Med: 2.67   Max: 10.07
Current: 9.92

During the past 13 years, Southern Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 10.07. The lowest was -2.63. And the median was 2.67.

WBO:SOUT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
60.71% of 425 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 6.48 vs WBO:SOUT: 9.92

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Southern Co  (WBO:SOUT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Southern Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Southern Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Southern Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Southern Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.65 0.84 -2.52 4.67 9.09

Southern Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.14 9.02 9.09 9.53 10.03

WBO:SOUT vs DUK, AEP, D: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Southern Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


WBO:SOUT
74GF Score
Southern Co WBO:SOUT
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Southern Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-1.34571429/84.24+0.1187
=10.27 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.03% mean?
Southern Co (WBO:SOUT) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.03% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Southern Co and its competitors. This is 276% above median its historical median of 2.67. According to the industry distribution chart, Southern Co ranks #167 out of 425 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 39.3%.
Is Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Southern Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.03% is 276% above median its 10-year median of 2.67. The Utilities - Regulated industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.48. Southern Co's value of 10.03% is 54.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Southern Co ranks #167 out of 425 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Southern Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Southern Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to DUK and AEP?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Southern Co ranks #167 out of 425 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Southern Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.48. Southern Co's value of 10.03% is 54.8% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 2.67 vs. the industry median of 6.48, Southern Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Utilities - Regulated companies is 6.48, based on 425 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Southern Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.03% is 54.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Southern Co and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.48 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Southern Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.03%, which is 276% above median its own 10-year median of 2.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Southern Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Southern Co (WBO:SOUT) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €81.43, compared to a current price of €77.00 — trading 5.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.03%, which is 276% above median its 10-year median of 2.67 and 54.8% above the Utilities - Regulated industry median of 6.48. Southern Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Southern Co (WBO:SOUT), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.03% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Southern Co (WBO:SOUT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Southern Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €77.00 is trading 5.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of €81.43. GuruFocus considers Southern Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:SOUT:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.03% (276% above median its 10-year median of 2.67)
  • GF Value™: €81.43 vs. price of €77.00 (5.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 54.8% above the Utilities - Regulated median (#167 of 425)

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:SOUT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Southern Co Business Description

Address 30 Ivan Allen Jr. Boulevard, Northwest, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30308
Southern is one of the largest utilities in the US. The company serves 9 million customers with vertically integrated electric utilities in three states and natural gas distribution utilities in four states. It owns 46 gigawatts of rate-regulated generating capacity, primarily for serving customers in Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi. Subsidiary Southern Power owns 13 gigawatts of natural gas generation and renewable energy across the US and sells the electricity primarily under long-term contracts.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:SOUT

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€77.00
Price
€81.43
GF Value