Bitcoin Group SE (XSWX:ADE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -22.23% (As of Dec. 2024)


XSWX:ADE Bitcoin Group SE XSWX:ADE
46 GF Score
Price CHF24.02
GF Value CHF170.40
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Bitcoin Group SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Bitcoin Group SE XSWX:ADE -2.20% 46 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -22.23% as of Dec. 2024. GuruFocus rates XSWX:ADE with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF170.40 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,176 Asset Management companies, Bitcoin Group SE ranks worse than 91.58% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Bitcoin Group SE's forward rate of return for was -22.23%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:ADE' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -22.27   Med: -8.29   Max: 24.01
Current: -21.67

During the past 13 years, Bitcoin Group SE's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.01. The lowest was -22.27. And the median was -8.29.

XSWX:ADE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
91.58% of 1176 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 4.715 vs XSWX:ADE: -21.67

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Bitcoin Group SE  (XSWX:ADE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Bitcoin Group SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Bitcoin Group SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bitcoin Group SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Bitcoin Group SE Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 21.75 -3.57 -8.08 -22.23

Bitcoin Group SE Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -8.08 0.00 -22.23 0.00

XSWX:ADE vs BLK, BX, KKR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bitcoin Group SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


XSWX:ADE
46GF Score
Bitcoin Group SE XSWX:ADE
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bitcoin Group SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.34516667/0+-0.2553
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -22.23% mean?
Bitcoin Group SE (XSWX:ADE) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -22.23% as of Dec. 2024. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Bitcoin Group SE and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bitcoin Group SE ranks #1077 out of 1176 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 91.6%.
Is Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Bitcoin Group SE's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -22.23%. Based on the distribution chart, Bitcoin Group SE ranks #1077 out of 1176 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Bitcoin Group SE has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bitcoin Group SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Bitcoin Group SE ranks #1077 out of 1176 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Bitcoin Group SE in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.72. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Asset Management company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Asset Management companies is 4.72, based on 1,176 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Bitcoin Group SE and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.72 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Bitcoin Group SE's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -22.23%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bitcoin Group SE stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bitcoin Group SE (XSWX:ADE) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF170.40, compared to a current price of CHF24.02 — trading 85.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -22.23%. Bitcoin Group SE's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bitcoin Group SE (XSWX:ADE), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -22.23% as of Dec. 2024. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bitcoin Group SE (XSWX:ADE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bitcoin Group SE stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF24.02 is trading 85.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF170.40. GuruFocus considers Bitcoin Group SE to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:ADE:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -22.23%
  • GF Value™: CHF170.40 vs. price of CHF24.02 (85.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:ADE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bitcoin Group SE Business Description

Address Europe Square 2, Berlin, DEU, 10557
Bitcoin Group SE is a venture capital company. The Company focuses on the acquisition, sale and management of investments in companies, and the acquisition of strategic leadership, management and coordination of these companies.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:ADE

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF24.02
Price
CHF170.40
GF Value