SFS Group AG (XSWX:SFSN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.36% (As of Dec. 2025) — 19% Above Median

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XSWX:SFSN SFS Group AG XSWX:SFSN
91 GF Score
Price CHF134.00
GF Value CHF116.11
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is SFS Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

SFS Group AG XSWX:SFSN +0.90% 91 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36% as of Dec. 2025, which is 19% above its 10-year median of 8.72. GuruFocus rates XSWX:SFSN with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF116.11 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,153 Industrial Products companies, SFS Group AG ranks better than 54.25% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. SFS Group AG's forward rate of return for was 10.36%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:SFSN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.77   Med: 8.72   Max: 13.41
Current: 9.49

During the past 13 years, SFS Group AG's highest Forward Rate of Return was 13.41. The lowest was 5.77. And the median was 8.72.

XSWX:SFSN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
54.25% of 2153 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 7.74 vs XSWX:SFSN: 9.49

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


SFS Group AG  (XSWX:SFSN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


SFS Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


SFS Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

SFS Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

SFS Group AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.32 11.06 13.20 12.41 10.36

SFS Group AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 12.41 0.00 10.36 0.00

XSWX:SFSN vs SNA, RBC, SWK: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SFS Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


XSWX:SFSN
91GF Score
SFS Group AG XSWX:SFSN
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

SFS Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.00633333/108.6+0.0575
=10.36 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.36% mean?
SFS Group AG (XSWX:SFSN) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.36% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on SFS Group AG and its competitors. This is 19% above median its historical median of 8.72. Over the past decade, SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 5.77 to 13.41. According to the industry distribution chart, SFS Group AG ranks #985 out of 2153 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 45.8%.
Is SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
SFS Group AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.36% is 19% above median its 10-year median of 8.72. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 5.77 to a high of 13.41. The Industrial Products industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.74. SFS Group AG's value of 10.36% is 33.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, SFS Group AG ranks #985 out of 2153 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, SFS Group AG has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SFS Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SNA and RBC?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, SFS Group AG ranks #985 out of 2153 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts SFS Group AG in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.74. SFS Group AG's value of 10.36% is 33.9% above this benchmark. Historically, SFS Group AG's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 5.77 to 13.41 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 8.72 vs. the industry median of 7.74, SFS Group AG has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Industrial Products company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Industrial Products companies is 7.74, based on 2,153 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. SFS Group AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.36% is 33.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on SFS Group AG and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. SFS Group AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36%, which is 19% above median its own 10-year median of 8.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SFS Group AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SFS Group AG (XSWX:SFSN) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF116.11, compared to a current price of CHF134.00 — trading 15.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36%, which is 19% above median its 10-year median of 8.72 and 33.9% above the Industrial Products industry median of 7.74. SFS Group AG's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SFS Group AG (XSWX:SFSN), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SFS Group AG (XSWX:SFSN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SFS Group AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF134.00 is trading 15.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF116.11. GuruFocus considers SFS Group AG to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:SFSN:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.36% (19% above median its 10-year median of 8.72)
  • GF Value™: CHF116.11 vs. price of CHF134.00 (15.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 33.9% above the Industrial Products median (#985 of 2153)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:SFSN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SFS Group AG Business Description

Other Exchanges SFSNz:UK0QW8:UK021:Germany
Address Rosenbergsaustrasse 8, Heerbrugg, CHE, 9435
SFS Group AG is engaged in the development and manufacture of precision components, fastening systems, and distribution and logistics solutions for various industries. The group operates through three segments: Engineered Components, which develops and manufactures precision components, assemblies and fastening solutions for industries such as automotive, electronics, aerospace and medical devices; Fastening Systems, which develops and markets application-specific mechanical fastening systems mainly for the construction industry; and Distribution & Logistics, which supplies fastening elements, tools, C-parts and procurement and logistics solutions to industrial and manufacturing customers.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:SFSN

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF134.00
Price
CHF116.11
GF Value