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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
voestalpine AGXTER:VAS +1.86%66 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.83% as of Jun. 2026, which is 46% below its 10-year median of 5.26. GuruFocus rates XTER:VAS with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of €23.23 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 496 Steel companies, voestalpine AG ranks worse than 50.2% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. voestalpine AG's forward rate of return for was 2.83%.
The historical rank and industry rank for voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
XTER:VAS'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.02 Med: 5.26 Max: 8.19
Current: 2.46
During the past 13 years, voestalpine AG's highest Forward Rate of Return was 8.19. The lowest was -9.02. And the median was 5.26.
XTER:VAS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 50.2% of 496
companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 2.505
vs XTER:VAS: 2.46
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
voestalpine AG (XTER:VAS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
voestalpine AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
voestalpine AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
voestalpine AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
XTER:VAS vs NUE, STLD, RS: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Steel subindustry, voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
voestalpine AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Steel Industry
For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
voestalpine AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.83% mean?
voestalpine AG (XTER:VAS) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.83% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on voestalpine AG and its competitors. This is 46% below median its historical median of 5.26. According to the industry distribution chart, voestalpine AG ranks #249 out of 496 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 50.2%.
Is voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
voestalpine AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.83% is 46% below median its 10-year median of 5.26. The Steel industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.51. voestalpine AG's value of 2.83% is 13% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, voestalpine AG ranks #249 out of 496 companies in the Steel industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, voestalpine AG has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does voestalpine AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, voestalpine AG ranks #249 out of 496 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places voestalpine AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.51. voestalpine AG's value of 2.83% is 13% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 5.26 vs. the industry median of 2.51, voestalpine AG has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Steel company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Steel companies is 2.51, based on 496 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. voestalpine AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 2.83% is 13% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on voestalpine AG and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.51 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. voestalpine AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.83%, which is 46% below median its own 10-year median of 5.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is voestalpine AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, voestalpine AG (XTER:VAS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €23.23, compared to a current price of €43.78 — trading 88.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.83%, which is 46% below median its 10-year median of 5.26 and 13% above the Steel industry median of 2.51. voestalpine AG's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For voestalpine AG (XTER:VAS), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 2.83% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is voestalpine AG (XTER:VAS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, voestalpine AG stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €43.78 is trading 88.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €23.23.
GuruFocus considers voestalpine AG to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XTER:VAS:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 2.83% (46% below median its 10-year median of 5.26)
GF Value™: €23.23 vs. price of €43.78 (88.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 13% above the Steel median (#249 of 496)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XTER:VAS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
voestalpine AG is engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and development of steel products. Its divisions are: Steel Division, which generates maximum revenue and is involved in the production of steel products and the casting of large turbines. High-Performance Metals Division provides metals for the automotive, consumer goods, power generation, energy, and aviation sectors. The Metal Engineering Division produces rails, turnout systems, track-based monitoring systems, specially treated wire, and others. Metal Forming Division provides customized special and precision sections, as well as solutions for systems in the construction, cab construction for commercial vehicles, and aviation sectors, and Holding & Group Services. It generates its maximum revenue from the European Union.
66GF Score
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Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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