Alico (ALCO) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ALCO Alico Inc ALCO
52 GF Score
Price $38.62
GF Value $9.95
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Alico Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Alico is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Alico  (NAS:ALCO) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Alico Risk Assessment Related Terms

ALCO vs AFRI, LMNR, VFF: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, Alico's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alico Risk Assessment vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Alico's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alico's Risk Assessment falls into.


ALCO
52GF Score
Alico Inc ALCO
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Alico (ALCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alico stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $38.62 is trading 288.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $9.95. GuruFocus considers Alico to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ALCO:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $9.95 vs. price of $38.62 (288.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ALCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alico Business Description

Address 10070 Daniels Interstate Court, Suite 200, Fort Myers, FL, USA, 33913
Alico Inc is a Florida-based agribusiness and land management company that mainly focuses on citrus production and grove conservation. The company operates through two primary business units: Alico Citrus and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus segment engages in the cultivation of citrus trees and delivers citrus to the processed and fresh citrus markets. It mainly serves the processed market and sells Hamlin oranges and the Valencia variety to the orange juice processors. The Land Management and Other Operations segment engages in land leasing for recreational, conservation, and mining activities. Alico Citrus delivers the majority of the revenue as the firm's primary operating business unit.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ALCO

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$38.62
Price
$9.95
GF Value