Air New Zealand (ASX:AIZ) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:AIZ Air New Zealand Ltd ASX:AIZ
32 GF Score
Price A$0.36
GF Value A$0.52
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Air New Zealand Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Air New Zealand is: High Risk: High uncertainty.

Air New Zealand  (ASX:AIZ) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Air New Zealand Risk Assessment Related Terms

ASX:AIZ vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Air New Zealand's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Air New Zealand Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air New Zealand's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air New Zealand's Risk Assessment falls into.


ASX:AIZ
32GF Score
Air New Zealand Ltd ASX:AIZ
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Air New Zealand (ASX:AIZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Air New Zealand stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$0.36 is trading 31.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.52. GuruFocus considers Air New Zealand to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:AIZ:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: A$0.52 vs. price of A$0.36 (31.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 32/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AIZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Air New Zealand Business Description

Address 185 Fanshawe Street, Air New Zealand House, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1010
Air New Zealand, majority owned by the New Zealand government, provides air passenger and cargo transport services within New Zealand as well as to and from Australia, the Southwest Pacific, Asia, North America, the United Kingdom, and South America. Air New Zealand also encompasses business units providing engineering and ground handling services. Air New Zealand dominates the local market with around 80% share, although the majority of revenue is derived from international and trans-Tasman activity.
32GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:AIZ

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.36
Price
A$0.52
GF Value