Genesis Energy (ASX:GNE) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:GNE Genesis Energy Ltd ASX:GNE
70 GF Score
Price A$2.18
GF Value A$1.82
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Genesis Energy Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Genesis Energy is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Genesis Energy  (ASX:GNE) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Genesis Energy Risk Assessment Related Terms

ASX:GNE vs CEG, VST, NRG: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Genesis Energy's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Genesis Energy Risk Assessment vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Genesis Energy's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Genesis Energy's Risk Assessment falls into.


ASX:GNE
70GF Score
Genesis Energy Ltd ASX:GNE
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Genesis Energy (ASX:GNE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Genesis Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$2.18 is trading 19.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$1.82. GuruFocus considers Genesis Energy to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:GNE:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: A$1.82 vs. price of A$2.18 (19.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:GNE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Genesis Energy Business Description

Other Exchanges GNE:New Zealand1G6:Germany
Address 155 Fanshawe Street, Genesis Energy Level 6, Wynyard Quarter, Auckland, NZL, 1010
Genesis Energy is one of New Zealand's leading producers of electricity, accounting for more than 15% of the country's total generation. The firm enjoys a strong retail presence, with the highest retail market share, at over 25%. The company has a mix of renewable and thermal assets, with the latter accounting for about 55%-60% of the firm's overall production. The company has a 46% interest in the Kupe oil and gas field.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:GNE

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$2.18
Price
A$1.82
GF Value