CNI (Canadian National Railway Co) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CNI Canadian National Railway Co CNI
90 GF Score
Price $127.91
GF Value $115.17
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Canadian National Railway Co Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Canadian National Railway Co is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Canadian National Railway Co  (NYSE:CNI) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Canadian National Railway Co Risk Assessment Related Terms

CNI vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Canadian National Railway Co's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Canadian National Railway Co Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Canadian National Railway Co's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian National Railway Co's Risk Assessment falls into.


CNI
90GF Score
Canadian National Railway Co CNI
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Canadian National Railway Co (CNI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Canadian National Railway Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $127.91 is trading 11.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $115.17. GuruFocus considers Canadian National Railway Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CNI:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $115.17 vs. price of $127.91 (11.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CNI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Canadian National Railway Co Business Description

Address 935 de La Gauchetiere Street West, Montreal, QC, CAN, H3B 2M9
Canadian National's railway spans Canada from coast to coast and extends through Chicago to the Gulf of Mexico. In 2025, CN generated CAD 17.7 billion in revenue by hauling intermodal containers (22% of consolidated revenue), petroleum and chemicals (21%), grain and fertilizers (23%), forest products (10%), metals and minerals (11%), automotive shipments (5%), and coal (5%). Other items constitute the remaining revenue.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CNI

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$127.91
Price
$115.17
GF Value