DRD (DRDGold) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

DRD DRDGold Ltd DRD
87 GF Score
Price $19.65
GF Value $22.08
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is DRDGold Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of DRDGold is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

DRDGold  (NYSE:DRD) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

DRDGold Risk Assessment Related Terms

DRD vs NEM, AU, RGLD: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, DRDGold's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

DRDGold Risk Assessment vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, DRDGold's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DRDGold's Risk Assessment falls into.


DRD
87GF Score
DRDGold Ltd DRD
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is DRDGold (DRD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, DRDGold stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $19.65 is trading 11% below its estimated GF Value™ of $22.08. GuruFocus considers DRDGold to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for DRD:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $22.08 vs. price of $19.65 (11% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the DRD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

DRDGold Business Description

Address Cnr 14th Avenue and Hendrik Potgieter Road, Constantia Office Park, Cycad House, Building 17, Ground Floor, Weltevreden Park, Johannesburg, ZAF, 1709
DRDGold Ltd is a South African gold mining company engaged in surface gold tailings retreatment including exploration, extraction, processing, and smelting. Its reportable operating segments are; Ergo, FWGR, and Corporate office and other reconciling items. The Ergo is a surface gold retreatment operation that treats old slime dams and sand dumps to the south of Johannesburg's central business district as well as the East and Central Rand goldfields, and the FWGR which is a surface gold retreatment operation and treats old slime dams in the West Rand goldfields. The Ergo segment derives a vast majority of the company's revenue.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DRD

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$19.65
Price
$22.08
GF Value