JM Smucker Co (FRA:JM2) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:JM2 JM Smucker Co FRA:JM2
70 GF Score
Price €98.32
GF Value €104.56
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is JM Smucker Co Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of JM Smucker Co is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

JM Smucker Co  (FRA:JM2) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

JM Smucker Co Risk Assessment Related Terms

FRA:JM2 vs JBS, MKC, HRL: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, JM Smucker Co's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

JM Smucker Co Risk Assessment vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, JM Smucker Co's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JM Smucker Co's Risk Assessment falls into.


FRA:JM2
70GF Score
JM Smucker Co FRA:JM2
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is JM Smucker Co (FRA:JM2) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, JM Smucker Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €98.32 is trading 6% below its estimated GF Value™ of €104.56. GuruFocus considers JM Smucker Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:JM2:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: €104.56 vs. price of €98.32 (6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:JM2 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

JM Smucker Co Business Description

Other Exchanges SJM:USA1SJM:Italy0L7F:UK
Address One Strawberry Lane, Orrville, OH, USA, 44667-0280
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the US retail channel (73% of fiscal 2025 revenue came through its retail pet foods, coffee, and frozen handheld/spreads segments), with the remaining share consisting of sweet baked snacks (through the Hostess acquisition) and international (primarily Canada). Retail coffee is its largest category (32% of sales) with brands Folgers and Dunkin'. Pet foods (19% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 22% comes from frozen handhelds and spreads, through brands Jif, Smucker's, and Uncrustables. The company acquired Hostess Brands in fiscal 2024 to boost its snack and convenience store presence.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:JM2

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€98.32
Price
€104.56
GF Value