Alaska Air Group (LTS:0HC3) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0HC3 Alaska Air Group Inc LTS:0HC3
81 GF Score
Price $43.90
GF Value $62.24
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Alaska Air Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Alaska Air Group is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Alaska Air Group  (LTS:0HC3) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Alaska Air Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

LTS:0HC3 vs CPA, SKYW, ALGT: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Alaska Air Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alaska Air Group Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Alaska Air Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alaska Air Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


LTS:0HC3
81GF Score
Alaska Air Group Inc LTS:0HC3
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Alaska Air Group (LTS:0HC3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alaska Air Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $43.90 is trading 29.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $62.24. GuruFocus considers Alaska Air Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0HC3:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $62.24 vs. price of $43.90 (29.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0HC3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alaska Air Group Business Description

Address 19300 International Boulevard, Seattle, WA, USA, 98188
Alaska Air Group Inc operates two airlines, Alaska and Horizon, in three operating segments. The Alaska Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation on Alaska's Boeing and Airbus jet aircraft for passengers and cargo throughout the U.S., and in parts of Mexico and Costa Rica. The Regional segment includes Horizon's and other third-party carriers' scheduled air transportation for passengers across a shorter distance network within the U.S. and Canada under capacity purchase agreements. The Hawaiian Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation on Hawaiian's Boeing and Airbus aircraft for passengers and cargo. It earns revenues from Passenger tickets, including ticket breakage and net of taxes and fees, Passenger ancillary, and Mileage Plan passenger revenue.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0HC3

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$43.90
Price
$62.24
GF Value