Toyota Motor (MEX:TMN) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:TMN Toyota Motor Corp MEX:TMN
81 GF Score
Price MXN3,052.00
GF Value MXN3,636.35
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Toyota Motor Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Toyota Motor is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Toyota Motor  (MEX:TMN) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Toyota Motor Risk Assessment Related Terms

MEX:TMN vs TSLA, GM, F: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Toyota Motor's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Toyota Motor Risk Assessment vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toyota Motor's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toyota Motor's Risk Assessment falls into.


MEX:TMN
81GF Score
Toyota Motor Corp MEX:TMN
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Toyota Motor (MEX:TMN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyota Motor stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN3,052.00 is trading 16.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN3,636.35. GuruFocus considers Toyota Motor to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TMN:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: MXN3,636.35 vs. price of MXN3,052.00 (16.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TMN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Toyota Motor Business Description

Address 1 Toyota-cho, Aichi Prefecture, Toyota, JPN, 471-8571
Founded in 1937, Toyota is one of the world's largest automakers, with 11.3 million units sold at retail in fiscal 2026, including 10.5 million across the Toyota and Lexus brands. Brands include Toyota, Lexus, Daihatsu, and truck maker Hino; market share in Japan is about 50% excluding mini-vehicles, while US share is around 14%. The firm also owns stakes in Denso, a parts supplier, about 20% of Subaru, and holds investments in many other firms, including shares of Uber Technologies, Joby Aviation, Aurora Innovation, Isuzu Motors, and about 5% in each of Mazda and Suzuki. Fiscal 2026 sales excluding financial services were JPY 46.1 trillion. Toyota also has a financing arm and manufactures homes and boats.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TMN

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,052.00
Price
MXN3,636.35
GF Value