Rocket Lab (MIL:1RKLB) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MIL:1RKLB Rocket Lab Corp MIL:1RKLB
48 GF Score
Price €54.70
GF Value €23.13
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Rocket Lab Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Rocket Lab is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Rocket Lab  (MIL:1RKLB) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Rocket Lab Risk Assessment Related Terms

MIL:1RKLB vs AXON, HEI.A, CW: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Rocket Lab's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Rocket Lab Risk Assessment vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Rocket Lab's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rocket Lab's Risk Assessment falls into.


MIL:1RKLB
48GF Score
Rocket Lab Corp MIL:1RKLB
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Rocket Lab (MIL:1RKLB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rocket Lab stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €54.70 is trading 136.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €23.13. GuruFocus considers Rocket Lab to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1RKLB:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: €23.13 vs. price of €54.70 (136.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1RKLB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Rocket Lab Business Description

Other Exchanges RKLB:USA6RJ0:Germany
Address 3881 McGowen Street, Long Beach, CA, USA, 90808
Rocket Lab Corp is engaged in space, building rockets, and spacecraft. It provides end-to-end mission services that provide frequent and reliable access to space for civil, defense, and commercial markets. It designs and manufactures the Electron and Neutron launch vehicles and Photon satellite platform. Rocket Lab's Electron launch vehicle has delivered multiple satellites to orbit for private and public sector organizations, enabling operations in national security, scientific research, space debris mitigation, Earth observation, climate monitoring, and communications. The business operates in two segments Launch Services and Space Systems. Geographically it serves Japan, and rest of the world and earns key revenue from the United States.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1RKLB

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€54.70
Price
€23.13
GF Value