NEM (Newmont) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NEM Newmont Corp NEM
84 GF Score
Price $95.58
GF Value $72.50
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Newmont Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Newmont is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Newmont  (NYSE:NEM) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Newmont Risk Assessment Related Terms

NEM vs AU, RGLD, CDE: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Newmont's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Newmont Risk Assessment vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Newmont's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Newmont's Risk Assessment falls into.


NEM
84GF Score
Newmont Corp NEM
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Newmont (NEM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Newmont stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $95.58 is trading 31.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $72.50. GuruFocus considers Newmont to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NEM:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $72.50 vs. price of $95.58 (31.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NEM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Newmont Business Description

Address 6900 E Layton Avenue, Suite 700, Denver, CO, USA, 80237
Newmont is the world's largest gold miner. It bought Goldcorp in 2019, combined its Nevada mines in a joint venture with competitor Barrick later that year, and also purchased competitor Newcrest in November 2023. Its portfolio includes 11 mines and interests in two joint ventures in the Americas, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea. The company is expected to sell roughly 5.3 million ounces of gold in 2026 from its continuing mines after selling six higher-cost, smaller mines following the Newcrest acquisition. Newmont also produces material amounts of copper, silver, zinc, and lead as byproducts. It had about two decades of gold reserves, along with significant byproduct reserves at the end of December 2025.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NEM

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$95.58
Price
$72.50
GF Value